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icon for OpenAI IPO por...?
Tecnologia·IPOs

OpenAI IPO por...?

icon for OpenAI IPO por...?
Tecnologia·IPOs

OpenAI IPO por...?

$1,187,556 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$1,187,556 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for 30 de junho de 2026

30 de junho de 2026

$243,722 Vol.

3%

icon for 31 de dezembro de 2026

31 de dezembro de 2026

$448,307 Vol.

30%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Recent PitchBook analysis highlights mounting pressures delaying OpenAI's targeted Q4 2026 IPO to mid-2027, driven by $1.15 trillion in fixed infrastructure commitments to partners like Microsoft, Oracle, and NVIDIA, alongside revenue shortfalls in coding and enterprise segments where rival Anthropic is gaining share. CEO Sam Altman and CFO Sarah Friar rebutted reports of misalignment and missed targets—claiming $25 billion annualized run-rate revenue and alignment on compute investments—following a $122 billion funding round at $852 billion valuation, but Friar's cost-discipline edicts and exclusion from key planning underscore internal tensions. Traders eye a potential S-1 filing by late summer and Elon Musk's ongoing lawsuit as pivotal catalysts amid AI lab competition.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,187,556
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 29, 2025, 8:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Recent PitchBook analysis highlights mounting pressures delaying OpenAI's targeted Q4 2026 IPO to mid-2027, driven by $1.15 trillion in fixed infrastructure commitments to partners like Microsoft, Oracle, and NVIDIA, alongside revenue shortfalls in coding and enterprise segments where rival Anthropic is gaining share. CEO Sam Altman and CFO Sarah Friar rebutted reports of misalignment and missed targets—claiming $25 billion annualized run-rate revenue and alignment on compute investments—following a $122 billion funding round at $852 billion valuation, but Friar's cost-discipline edicts and exclusion from key planning underscore internal tensions. Traders eye a potential S-1 filing by late summer and Elon Musk's ongoing lawsuit as pivotal catalysts amid AI lab competition.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,187,556
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 29, 2025, 8:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"OpenAI IPO por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 30%, followed by "30 de junho de 2026" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "OpenAI IPO por...?" has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 30, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "OpenAI IPO por...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "OpenAI IPO por...?" is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30 de junho de 2026" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "OpenAI IPO por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.