Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion to over $65 billion annualized run rate, following the $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in May 2026, underpins the tight clustering of Polymarket probabilities around $1.75–$2.25 trillion closing market cap. Bankers have pitched investors on a potential $2 trillion valuation and up to $100 billion raise, reflecting strong demand for its Claude models and compute partnerships with Amazon and Google amid a projected $30 trillion total addressable market. Secondary-market trading has already implied valuations above $1.2 trillion, while the confidential S-1 filed June 1 positions the company for a public filing after Labor Day and possible Nasdaq debut in October. Key swing factors include first audited margins, cash burn trajectory, and broader equity market conditions ahead of the roadshow, with the low 0.4% probability of no IPO by end-2027 underscoring broad trader consensus on near-term listing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$1.75–$2.0T 27%
$2.0–$2.25T 20.7%
$2.25–$2.5T 17%
$1.5–$1.75T 12.3%
$564,218 Vol.
$564,218 Vol.
31 dez 2026
<$1.25T
1%
$1.25–$1.5T
2%
$1.5–$1.75T
12%
$1.75–$2.0T
27%
$2.0–$2.25T
21%
$2.25–$2.5T
17%
$2.5–$2.75T
11%
$2.75–$3.0T
5%
$3.0T+
8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
<1%
$1.75–$2.0T 27%
$2.0–$2.25T 20.7%
$2.25–$2.5T 17%
$1.5–$1.75T 12.3%
$564,218 Vol.
$564,218 Vol.
31 dez 2026
<$1.25T
$76,638 Vol.
1%
$1.25–$1.5T
$69,645 Vol.
2%
$1.5–$1.75T
$88,845 Vol.
12%
$1.75–$2.0T
$63,452 Vol.
27%
$2.0–$2.25T
$71,527 Vol.
21%
$2.25–$2.5T
$43,304 Vol.
17%
$2.5–$2.75T
$47,251 Vol.
11%
$2.75–$3.0T
$26,773 Vol.
5%
$3.0T+
$39,265 Vol.
8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$37,518 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion to over $65 billion annualized run rate, following the $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in May 2026, underpins the tight clustering of Polymarket probabilities around $1.75–$2.25 trillion closing market cap. Bankers have pitched investors on a potential $2 trillion valuation and up to $100 billion raise, reflecting strong demand for its Claude models and compute partnerships with Amazon and Google amid a projected $30 trillion total addressable market. Secondary-market trading has already implied valuations above $1.2 trillion, while the confidential S-1 filed June 1 positions the company for a public filing after Labor Day and possible Nasdaq debut in October. Key swing factors include first audited margins, cash burn trajectory, and broader equity market conditions ahead of the roadshow, with the low 0.4% probability of no IPO by end-2027 underscoring broad trader consensus on near-term listing.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$564,218Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion to over $65 billion annualized run rate, following the $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in May 2026, underpins the tight clustering of Polymarket probabilities around $1.75–$2.25 trillion closing market cap. Bankers have pitched investors on a potential $2 trillion valuation and up to $100 billion raise, reflecting strong demand for its Claude models and compute partnerships with Amazon and Google amid a projected $30 trillion total addressable market. Secondary-market trading has already implied valuations above $1.2 trillion, while the confidential S-1 filed June 1 positions the company for a public filing after Labor Day and possible Nasdaq debut in October. Key swing factors include first audited margins, cash burn trajectory, and broader equity market conditions ahead of the roadshow, with the low 0.4% probability of no IPO by end-2027 underscoring broad trader consensus on near-term listing.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$564,218Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion to over $65 billion annualized run rate, following the $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in May 2026, underpins the tight clustering of Polymarket probabilities around $1.75–$2.25 trillion closing market cap. Bankers have pitched investors on a potential $2 trillion valuation and up to $100 billion raise, reflecting strong demand for its Claude models and compute partnerships with Amazon and Google amid a projected $30 trillion total addressable market. Secondary-market trading has already implied valuations above $1.2 trillion, while the confidential S-1 filed June 1 positions the company for a public filing after Labor Day and possible Nasdaq debut in October. Key swing factors include first audited margins, cash burn trajectory, and broader equity market conditions ahead of the roadshow, with the low 0.4% probability of no IPO by end-2027 underscoring broad trader consensus on near-term listing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
O valor de mercado da Anthropic será de US$600 bilhões ou mais no fechamento do mercado no dia do IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027?
97%
Sim
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
82%
Oferta Pública Inicial da Anthropic fecha com valor de mercado acima de US$ 1,5 trilhão?
94%
Sim
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions