**Anthropic released Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026, as its most agentic midsize model yet, with strong gains in tool use, autonomous browser/terminal operation, coding benchmarks like SWE-bench Pro (63.2%), and knowledge work—closing much of the gap to Opus 4.8 at lower cost.** This followed Sonnet 4.6 in February 2026, maintaining a roughly four-month cadence between major Sonnet updates. Since then, the company has shipped Opus 5 in July and Fable 5.1/Mythos 5.1 variants in early September, shifting focus to other lines while competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google continues to accelerate model iteration cycles. Traders price the next Sonnet release with a market-implied median near mid-October, reflecting historical patterns, the absence of fixed schedules, and the likelihood of a fall update to refresh agentic capabilities and pricing tiers before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPróximo Soneto de Claude lançado por...?
Próximo Soneto de Claude lançado por...?
$18,262 Vol.
30 set 2026
30 de setembro
22%
31 de outubro
64%
31 de dezembro
97%
$18,262 Vol.
30 de setembro
$975 Vol.
22%
31 de outubro
$9,792 Vol.
64%
31 de dezembro
$3,757 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Anthropic released Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026, as its most agentic midsize model yet, with strong gains in tool use, autonomous browser/terminal operation, coding benchmarks like SWE-bench Pro (63.2%), and knowledge work—closing much of the gap to Opus 4.8 at lower cost.** This followed Sonnet 4.6 in February 2026, maintaining a roughly four-month cadence between major Sonnet updates. Since then, the company has shipped Opus 5 in July and Fable 5.1/Mythos 5.1 variants in early September, shifting focus to other lines while competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google continues to accelerate model iteration cycles. Traders price the next Sonnet release with a market-implied median near mid-October, reflecting historical patterns, the absence of fixed schedules, and the likelihood of a fall update to refresh agentic capabilities and pricing tiers before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ET
Volume
$18,262Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Anthropic released Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026, as its most agentic midsize model yet, with strong gains in tool use, autonomous browser/terminal operation, coding benchmarks like SWE-bench Pro (63.2%), and knowledge work—closing much of the gap to Opus 4.8 at lower cost.** This followed Sonnet 4.6 in February 2026, maintaining a roughly four-month cadence between major Sonnet updates. Since then, the company has shipped Opus 5 in July and Fable 5.1/Mythos 5.1 variants in early September, shifting focus to other lines while competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google continues to accelerate model iteration cycles. Traders price the next Sonnet release with a market-implied median near mid-October, reflecting historical patterns, the absence of fixed schedules, and the likelihood of a fall update to refresh agentic capabilities and pricing tiers before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$18,262Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Anthropic released Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026, as its most agentic midsize model yet, with strong gains in tool use, autonomous browser/terminal operation, coding benchmarks like SWE-bench Pro (63.2%), and knowledge work—closing much of the gap to Opus 4.8 at lower cost.** This followed Sonnet 4.6 in February 2026, maintaining a roughly four-month cadence between major Sonnet updates. Since then, the company has shipped Opus 5 in July and Fable 5.1/Mythos 5.1 variants in early September, shifting focus to other lines while competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google continues to accelerate model iteration cycles. Traders price the next Sonnet release with a market-implied median near mid-October, reflecting historical patterns, the absence of fixed schedules, and the likelihood of a fall update to refresh agentic capabilities and pricing tiers before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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