**Traders see a high probability of the next Claude Opus release in late September 2026, driven by Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence of Opus point releases every six to eight weeks.** Opus 5 launched July 24 with gains in agentic coding, self-verification, and long-horizon tasks at the same $5/$25 pricing, quickly becoming the general-purpose flagship after Opus 4.8 in May. The September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 refreshed the higher tier, signaling ongoing iteration across the Claude 5 family. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models, plus expanded compute capacity, supports expectations of another Opus update soon. No official timeline exists, but market-implied odds reflect the pattern of frequent, incremental flagship refreshes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPróximo Claude Opus lançado por...?
Próximo Claude Opus lançado por...?
$104,235 Vol.
30 set 2026
30 de setembro
75%
31 de outubro
99%
31 de dezembro
98%
$104,235 Vol.
30 de setembro
$44,308 Vol.
75%
31 de outubro
$13,267 Vol.
99%
31 de dezembro
$5,146 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Traders see a high probability of the next Claude Opus release in late September 2026, driven by Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence of Opus point releases every six to eight weeks.** Opus 5 launched July 24 with gains in agentic coding, self-verification, and long-horizon tasks at the same $5/$25 pricing, quickly becoming the general-purpose flagship after Opus 4.8 in May. The September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 refreshed the higher tier, signaling ongoing iteration across the Claude 5 family. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models, plus expanded compute capacity, supports expectations of another Opus update soon. No official timeline exists, but market-implied odds reflect the pattern of frequent, incremental flagship refreshes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Volume
$104,235Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Traders see a high probability of the next Claude Opus release in late September 2026, driven by Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence of Opus point releases every six to eight weeks.** Opus 5 launched July 24 with gains in agentic coding, self-verification, and long-horizon tasks at the same $5/$25 pricing, quickly becoming the general-purpose flagship after Opus 4.8 in May. The September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 refreshed the higher tier, signaling ongoing iteration across the Claude 5 family. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models, plus expanded compute capacity, supports expectations of another Opus update soon. No official timeline exists, but market-implied odds reflect the pattern of frequent, incremental flagship refreshes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$104,235Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Traders see a high probability of the next Claude Opus release in late September 2026, driven by Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence of Opus point releases every six to eight weeks.** Opus 5 launched July 24 with gains in agentic coding, self-verification, and long-horizon tasks at the same $5/$25 pricing, quickly becoming the general-purpose flagship after Opus 4.8 in May. The September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 refreshed the higher tier, signaling ongoing iteration across the Claude 5 family. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models, plus expanded compute capacity, supports expectations of another Opus update soon. No official timeline exists, but market-implied odds reflect the pattern of frequent, incremental flagship refreshes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions