Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89% implied probability to Anthropic releasing Claude 4.7 on or before April 16, driven by a fresh report from The Information detailing preparations for the flagship large language model alongside a new AI design tool, potentially launching within days. This follows the April 14 overhaul of the Claude Code desktop app—adding side-by-side sessions, voice commands, and skill management—which mirrors Anthropic's pattern of tooling upgrades preceding major model drops like Opus 4.6. Earlier source code leaks referenced Opus 4.7, fueling anticipation amid competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google. While no official announcement has materialized, backend 500 errors reported today hint at deployment, though timelines could slip due to safety evaluations or technical hurdles. Watch for confirmation via Anthropic's channels imminently.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoClaude 4.7 solto em...?
Claude 4.7 solto em...?
Em ou antes de 16 de abril 88%
17 de abril 9.3%
Não lançado até 30 de abril 1.1%
21 de abril 1.0%
$99,851 Vol.
$99,851 Vol.
Em ou antes de 16 de abril
88%
17 de abril
9%
18 de abril
<1%
19 de abril
<1%
20 de abril
1%
21 de abril
1%
22 de abril
<1%
23 de abril
<1%
24 de abril
<1%
25 de abril
<1%
26 de abril
<1%
27 de abril
<1%
28 de abril
<1%
29 de abril
<1%
30 de abril
<1%
Não lançado até 30 de abril
1%
Em ou antes de 16 de abril 88%
17 de abril 9.3%
Não lançado até 30 de abril 1.1%
21 de abril 1.0%
$99,851 Vol.
$99,851 Vol.
Em ou antes de 16 de abril
88%
17 de abril
9%
18 de abril
<1%
19 de abril
<1%
20 de abril
1%
21 de abril
1%
22 de abril
<1%
23 de abril
<1%
24 de abril
<1%
25 de abril
<1%
26 de abril
<1%
27 de abril
<1%
28 de abril
<1%
29 de abril
<1%
30 de abril
<1%
Não lançado até 30 de abril
1%
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89% implied probability to Anthropic releasing Claude 4.7 on or before April 16, driven by a fresh report from The Information detailing preparations for the flagship large language model alongside a new AI design tool, potentially launching within days. This follows the April 14 overhaul of the Claude Code desktop app—adding side-by-side sessions, voice commands, and skill management—which mirrors Anthropic's pattern of tooling upgrades preceding major model drops like Opus 4.6. Earlier source code leaks referenced Opus 4.7, fueling anticipation amid competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google. While no official announcement has materialized, backend 500 errors reported today hint at deployment, though timelines could slip due to safety evaluations or technical hurdles. Watch for confirmation via Anthropic's channels imminently.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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