Anthropic's planned October 2026 Nasdaq listing, targeting a roughly $2 trillion valuation and up to $100 billion raise with potential Nvidia anchor support, drives the tight race against SpaceX's June debut at a $1.77 trillion IPO valuation that briefly exceeded $2 trillion post-listing. Traders assign SpaceX a 52% implied probability of holding the largest 2026 market cap amid its established Starlink revenue and xAI integration, while Anthropic's 46.3% reflects its faster revenue trajectory and AI market positioning. xAI's 25.5% odds reflect its February merger into SpaceX rather than a standalone offering. Other candidates remain negligible due to delayed or smaller-scale plans, underscoring how these two AI-linked debuts define the year's IPO benchmarks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMaior IPO por valor de mercado em 2026?
Maior IPO por valor de mercado em 2026?
SpaceX 52%
Anthropic 46.3%
OpenAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
$6,018,283 Vol.
$6,018,283 Vol.
30 dez 2026
SpaceX
52%
Anthropic
46%
OpenAI
1%
ByteDance
<1%
Stripe
<1%
Databricks
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
Waymo
<1%
Revolut
<1%
Discord
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
Kraken
<1%
SpaceX 52%
Anthropic 46.3%
OpenAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
$6,018,283 Vol.
$6,018,283 Vol.
30 dez 2026
SpaceX
$881,554 Vol.
52%
Anthropic
$1,121,830 Vol.
46%
OpenAI
$564,376 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$213,990 Vol.
<1%
Stripe
$134,177 Vol.
<1%
Databricks
$615,211 Vol.
<1%
SHEIN
$583,615 Vol.
<1%
Waymo
$318,150 Vol.
<1%
Revolut
$633,808 Vol.
<1%
Discord
$182,734 Vol.
<1%
Perplexity AI
$108,136 Vol.
<1%
Kraken
$660,964 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic's planned October 2026 Nasdaq listing, targeting a roughly $2 trillion valuation and up to $100 billion raise with potential Nvidia anchor support, drives the tight race against SpaceX's June debut at a $1.77 trillion IPO valuation that briefly exceeded $2 trillion post-listing. Traders assign SpaceX a 52% implied probability of holding the largest 2026 market cap amid its established Starlink revenue and xAI integration, while Anthropic's 46.3% reflects its faster revenue trajectory and AI market positioning. xAI's 25.5% odds reflect its February merger into SpaceX rather than a standalone offering. Other candidates remain negligible due to delayed or smaller-scale plans, underscoring how these two AI-linked debuts define the year's IPO benchmarks.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Volume
$6,018,283Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic's planned October 2026 Nasdaq listing, targeting a roughly $2 trillion valuation and up to $100 billion raise with potential Nvidia anchor support, drives the tight race against SpaceX's June debut at a $1.77 trillion IPO valuation that briefly exceeded $2 trillion post-listing. Traders assign SpaceX a 52% implied probability of holding the largest 2026 market cap amid its established Starlink revenue and xAI integration, while Anthropic's 46.3% reflects its faster revenue trajectory and AI market positioning. xAI's 25.5% odds reflect its February merger into SpaceX rather than a standalone offering. Other candidates remain negligible due to delayed or smaller-scale plans, underscoring how these two AI-linked debuts define the year's IPO benchmarks.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$6,018,283Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic's planned October 2026 Nasdaq listing, targeting a roughly $2 trillion valuation and up to $100 billion raise with potential Nvidia anchor support, drives the tight race against SpaceX's June debut at a $1.77 trillion IPO valuation that briefly exceeded $2 trillion post-listing. Traders assign SpaceX a 52% implied probability of holding the largest 2026 market cap amid its established Starlink revenue and xAI integration, while Anthropic's 46.3% reflects its faster revenue trajectory and AI market positioning. xAI's 25.5% odds reflect its February merger into SpaceX rather than a standalone offering. Other candidates remain negligible due to delayed or smaller-scale plans, underscoring how these two AI-linked debuts define the year's IPO benchmarks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions