**The Tropical Forest Forever Facility (TFFF) currently holds roughly $7.3 billion in committed sponsor capital, well short of the $10 billion threshold required by December 31, 2026.** Launched at COP30 in late 2025 with initial pledges totaling about $6.7 billion from a handful of nations including Norway, Germany, Brazil, Indonesia, and France, progress has been incremental. Recent additions, such as support announced during London Climate Action Week in June 2026, have lifted totals modestly but not enough to close the gap rapidly. Trader consensus favoring “No” at 77.5% reflects the tight timeline for securing additional sovereign and philanthropic pledges from Europe, Asia, and the Americas amid ongoing negotiations. While the blended-finance model—pairing public capital with private investment to generate returns for performance-based payments verified by satellite monitoring of deforestation rates below 0.5% annually—remains structurally sound, the pace of new commitments appears insufficient to hit the target before year-end without accelerated breakthroughs. Key upcoming milestones include further investor-country announcements and structural refinements aimed at attracting private capital.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
18% chance
NOVO
NOVO
15 jan 2027
Sim
18% chance
NOVO
NOVO
15 jan 2027
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if total sponsor capital committed to the Tropical Forest Forever Facility (TFFF) is greater than or equal to $10,000,000,000 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution value is the "Pledged capital" figure displayed on the Sponsor Capital gauge at the top of the tracker. If the tracker separately displays an "Invested capital" figure not already included in the pledged figure, the two are summed, with no contributor's capital counted more than once.
This market will remain open until January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET to accommodate a lag in reporting. Only commitments made on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will count. From January 1, 2027 through January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the resolution value is the gauge figure less any contributor amount whose commitment is attributed, by the tracker or by the contributor's own announcement, to a date after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A commitment's date is the date of the contributor's public announcement of the pledge, not the date the tracker first reflects it. Revisions published after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the TFFF Watch Investment Tracker at https://tfffwatch.org/investment-tracker. If the TFFF Watch Investment Tracker becomes permanently unavailable or stops publishing these totals, this market will resolve based on official TFFF announcements at https://tfff.earth and a consensus of credible reporting, applying the same standard of sponsor capital formally pledged or paid in.**The Tropical Forest Forever Facility (TFFF) currently holds roughly $7.3 billion in committed sponsor capital, well short of the $10 billion threshold required by December 31, 2026.** Launched at COP30 in late 2025 with initial pledges totaling about $6.7 billion from a handful of nations including Norway, Germany, Brazil, Indonesia, and France, progress has been incremental. Recent additions, such as support announced during London Climate Action Week in June 2026, have lifted totals modestly but not enough to close the gap rapidly.
Trader consensus favoring “No” at 77.5% reflects the tight timeline for securing additional sovereign and philanthropic pledges from Europe, Asia, and the Americas amid ongoing negotiations. While the blended-finance model—pairing public capital with private investment to generate returns for performance-based payments verified by satellite monitoring of deforestation rates below 0.5% annually—remains structurally sound, the pace of new commitments appears insufficient to hit the target before year-end without accelerated breakthroughs. Key upcoming milestones include further investor-country announcements and structural refinements aimed at attracting private capital.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if total sponsor capital committed to the Tropical Forest Forever Facility (TFFF) is greater than or equal to $10,000,000,000 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution value is the "Pledged capital" figure displayed on the Sponsor Capital gauge at the top of the tracker. If the tracker separately displays an "Invested capital" figure not already included in the pledged figure, the two are summed, with no contributor's capital counted more than once.
This market will remain open until January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET to accommodate a lag in reporting. Only commitments made on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will count. From January 1, 2027 through January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the resolution value is the gauge figure less any contributor amount whose commitment is attributed, by the tracker or by the contributor's own announcement, to a date after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A commitment's date is the date of the contributor's public announcement of the pledge, not the date the tracker first reflects it. Revisions published after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the TFFF Watch Investment Tracker at https://tfffwatch.org/investment-tracker. If the TFFF Watch Investment Tracker becomes permanently unavailable or stops publishing these totals, this market will resolve based on official TFFF announcements at https://tfff.earth and a consensus of credible reporting, applying the same standard of sponsor capital formally pledged or paid in.
The resolution value is the "Pledged capital" figure displayed on the Sponsor Capital gauge at the top of the tracker. If the tracker separately displays an "Invested capital" figure not already included in the pledged figure, the two are summed, with no contributor's capital counted more than once.
This market will remain open until January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET to accommodate a lag in reporting. Only commitments made on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will count. From January 1, 2027 through January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the resolution value is the gauge figure less any contributor amount whose commitment is attributed, by the tracker or by the contributor's own announcement, to a date after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A commitment's date is the date of the contributor's public announcement of the pledge, not the date the tracker first reflects it. Revisions published after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the TFFF Watch Investment Tracker at https://tfffwatch.org/investment-tracker. If the TFFF Watch Investment Tracker becomes permanently unavailable or stops publishing these totals, this market will resolve based on official TFFF announcements at https://tfff.earth and a consensus of credible reporting, applying the same standard of sponsor capital formally pledged or paid in.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volume
$382Data de Término
16 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 5:26 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://tfffwatch.org/investment-trackerResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if total sponsor capital committed to the Tropical Forest Forever Facility (TFFF) is greater than or equal to $10,000,000,000 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution value is the "Pledged capital" figure displayed on the Sponsor Capital gauge at the top of the tracker. If the tracker separately displays an "Invested capital" figure not already included in the pledged figure, the two are summed, with no contributor's capital counted more than once.
This market will remain open until January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET to accommodate a lag in reporting. Only commitments made on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will count. From January 1, 2027 through January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the resolution value is the gauge figure less any contributor amount whose commitment is attributed, by the tracker or by the contributor's own announcement, to a date after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A commitment's date is the date of the contributor's public announcement of the pledge, not the date the tracker first reflects it. Revisions published after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the TFFF Watch Investment Tracker at https://tfffwatch.org/investment-tracker. If the TFFF Watch Investment Tracker becomes permanently unavailable or stops publishing these totals, this market will resolve based on official TFFF announcements at https://tfff.earth and a consensus of credible reporting, applying the same standard of sponsor capital formally pledged or paid in.**The Tropical Forest Forever Facility (TFFF) currently holds roughly $7.3 billion in committed sponsor capital, well short of the $10 billion threshold required by December 31, 2026.** Launched at COP30 in late 2025 with initial pledges totaling about $6.7 billion from a handful of nations including Norway, Germany, Brazil, Indonesia, and France, progress has been incremental. Recent additions, such as support announced during London Climate Action Week in June 2026, have lifted totals modestly but not enough to close the gap rapidly.
Trader consensus favoring “No” at 77.5% reflects the tight timeline for securing additional sovereign and philanthropic pledges from Europe, Asia, and the Americas amid ongoing negotiations. While the blended-finance model—pairing public capital with private investment to generate returns for performance-based payments verified by satellite monitoring of deforestation rates below 0.5% annually—remains structurally sound, the pace of new commitments appears insufficient to hit the target before year-end without accelerated breakthroughs. Key upcoming milestones include further investor-country announcements and structural refinements aimed at attracting private capital.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if total sponsor capital committed to the Tropical Forest Forever Facility (TFFF) is greater than or equal to $10,000,000,000 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution value is the "Pledged capital" figure displayed on the Sponsor Capital gauge at the top of the tracker. If the tracker separately displays an "Invested capital" figure not already included in the pledged figure, the two are summed, with no contributor's capital counted more than once.
This market will remain open until January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET to accommodate a lag in reporting. Only commitments made on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will count. From January 1, 2027 through January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the resolution value is the gauge figure less any contributor amount whose commitment is attributed, by the tracker or by the contributor's own announcement, to a date after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A commitment's date is the date of the contributor's public announcement of the pledge, not the date the tracker first reflects it. Revisions published after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the TFFF Watch Investment Tracker at https://tfffwatch.org/investment-tracker. If the TFFF Watch Investment Tracker becomes permanently unavailable or stops publishing these totals, this market will resolve based on official TFFF announcements at https://tfff.earth and a consensus of credible reporting, applying the same standard of sponsor capital formally pledged or paid in.
The resolution value is the "Pledged capital" figure displayed on the Sponsor Capital gauge at the top of the tracker. If the tracker separately displays an "Invested capital" figure not already included in the pledged figure, the two are summed, with no contributor's capital counted more than once.
This market will remain open until January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET to accommodate a lag in reporting. Only commitments made on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will count. From January 1, 2027 through January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the resolution value is the gauge figure less any contributor amount whose commitment is attributed, by the tracker or by the contributor's own announcement, to a date after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A commitment's date is the date of the contributor's public announcement of the pledge, not the date the tracker first reflects it. Revisions published after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the TFFF Watch Investment Tracker at https://tfffwatch.org/investment-tracker. If the TFFF Watch Investment Tracker becomes permanently unavailable or stops publishing these totals, this market will resolve based on official TFFF announcements at https://tfff.earth and a consensus of credible reporting, applying the same standard of sponsor capital formally pledged or paid in.
Volume
$382Data de Término
16 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 5:26 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://tfffwatch.org/investment-trackerResolver
0x65070BE91...**The Tropical Forest Forever Facility (TFFF) currently holds roughly $7.3 billion in committed sponsor capital, well short of the $10 billion threshold required by December 31, 2026.** Launched at COP30 in late 2025 with initial pledges totaling about $6.7 billion from a handful of nations including Norway, Germany, Brazil, Indonesia, and France, progress has been incremental. Recent additions, such as support announced during London Climate Action Week in June 2026, have lifted totals modestly but not enough to close the gap rapidly. Trader consensus favoring “No” at 77.5% reflects the tight timeline for securing additional sovereign and philanthropic pledges from Europe, Asia, and the Americas amid ongoing negotiations. While the blended-finance model—pairing public capital with private investment to generate returns for performance-based payments verified by satellite monitoring of deforestation rates below 0.5% annually—remains structurally sound, the pace of new commitments appears insufficient to hit the target before year-end without accelerated breakthroughs. Key upcoming milestones include further investor-country announcements and structural refinements aimed at attracting private capital.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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