Trader consensus around a 33°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on September 12 reflects official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that peak under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. This aligns with September climatology, where mean daily maxima near 30–31°C can reach 33°C during periods of enhanced solar heating and reduced cloud cover before the northeast monsoon strengthens. Real-time station data and model guidance converged on this value without significant outliers, reinforcing the market-implied 99.8% probability. Scenarios that could shift the outcome remain limited to rare post-processing revisions in the final daily extract or localized microclimate differences at the reference site, though both appear improbable given the consistency of observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 12 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 12 de setembro?
33°C 99.8%
25°C ou menos <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$130,698 Vol.
$130,698 Vol.
12 set 2026
25°C ou menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C ou mais
<1%
33°C 99.8%
25°C ou menos <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$130,698 Vol.
$130,698 Vol.
12 set 2026
25°C ou menos
$374 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$608 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5,133 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$7,745 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$16,310 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$36,954 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$26,674 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$28,094 Vol.
100%
34°C
$7,215 Vol.
<1%
35°C ou mais
$1,466 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus around a 33°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on September 12 reflects official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that peak under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. This aligns with September climatology, where mean daily maxima near 30–31°C can reach 33°C during periods of enhanced solar heating and reduced cloud cover before the northeast monsoon strengthens. Real-time station data and model guidance converged on this value without significant outliers, reinforcing the market-implied 99.8% probability. Scenarios that could shift the outcome remain limited to rare post-processing revisions in the final daily extract or localized microclimate differences at the reference site, though both appear improbable given the consistency of observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$130,698Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus around a 33°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on September 12 reflects official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that peak under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. This aligns with September climatology, where mean daily maxima near 30–31°C can reach 33°C during periods of enhanced solar heating and reduced cloud cover before the northeast monsoon strengthens. Real-time station data and model guidance converged on this value without significant outliers, reinforcing the market-implied 99.8% probability. Scenarios that could shift the outcome remain limited to rare post-processing revisions in the final daily extract or localized microclimate differences at the reference site, though both appear improbable given the consistency of observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$130,698Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around a 33°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on September 12 reflects official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that peak under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. This aligns with September climatology, where mean daily maxima near 30–31°C can reach 33°C during periods of enhanced solar heating and reduced cloud cover before the northeast monsoon strengthens. Real-time station data and model guidance converged on this value without significant outliers, reinforcing the market-implied 99.8% probability. Scenarios that could shift the outcome remain limited to rare post-processing revisions in the final daily extract or localized microclimate differences at the reference site, though both appear improbable given the consistency of observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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