Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological agencies indicate a cool, rainy day in São Paulo driven by a strong cold front and southeasterly flow, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 16–17°C amid persistent cloud cover and precipitation. This represents a notable departure below the typical September high near 23°C, reflecting the influence of polar air advection suppressing daytime warming. Model consensus supports limited diurnal rise, with hourly peaks clustered in the mid-teens, though minor variations in timing or intensity of showers could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh this stable cool pattern heavily, concentrating implied probabilities on 16–18°C outcomes while discounting warmer or much colder extremes. Updated model runs and official observations ahead of the 24-hour window will provide the next key signals for any adjustments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 13 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 13 de setembro?
17°C 36%
16°C 23%
18°C 21%
15°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
12°C ou menos
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
10%
16°C
23%
17°C
36%
18°C
21%
19°C
8%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C ou mais
1%
17°C 36%
16°C 23%
18°C 21%
15°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
12°C ou menos
$1,068 Vol.
1%
13°C
$120 Vol.
2%
14°C
$39 Vol.
3%
15°C
$829 Vol.
10%
16°C
$573 Vol.
23%
17°C
$482 Vol.
36%
18°C
$250 Vol.
21%
19°C
$401 Vol.
8%
20°C
$50 Vol.
4%
21°C
$243 Vol.
2%
22°C ou mais
$475 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological agencies indicate a cool, rainy day in São Paulo driven by a strong cold front and southeasterly flow, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 16–17°C amid persistent cloud cover and precipitation. This represents a notable departure below the typical September high near 23°C, reflecting the influence of polar air advection suppressing daytime warming. Model consensus supports limited diurnal rise, with hourly peaks clustered in the mid-teens, though minor variations in timing or intensity of showers could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh this stable cool pattern heavily, concentrating implied probabilities on 16–18°C outcomes while discounting warmer or much colder extremes. Updated model runs and official observations ahead of the 24-hour window will provide the next key signals for any adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$4,531Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological agencies indicate a cool, rainy day in São Paulo driven by a strong cold front and southeasterly flow, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 16–17°C amid persistent cloud cover and precipitation. This represents a notable departure below the typical September high near 23°C, reflecting the influence of polar air advection suppressing daytime warming. Model consensus supports limited diurnal rise, with hourly peaks clustered in the mid-teens, though minor variations in timing or intensity of showers could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh this stable cool pattern heavily, concentrating implied probabilities on 16–18°C outcomes while discounting warmer or much colder extremes. Updated model runs and official observations ahead of the 24-hour window will provide the next key signals for any adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,531Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological agencies indicate a cool, rainy day in São Paulo driven by a strong cold front and southeasterly flow, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 16–17°C amid persistent cloud cover and precipitation. This represents a notable departure below the typical September high near 23°C, reflecting the influence of polar air advection suppressing daytime warming. Model consensus supports limited diurnal rise, with hourly peaks clustered in the mid-teens, though minor variations in timing or intensity of showers could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh this stable cool pattern heavily, concentrating implied probabilities on 16–18°C outcomes while discounting warmer or much colder extremes. Updated model runs and official observations ahead of the 24-hour window will provide the next key signals for any adjustments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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