**Forecast models and real-time observations indicate a peak temperature of 25–26°C for Paris on September 12, 2026, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities.** Multiple sources, including GFS-based forecasts and local monitoring, project a daytime high near 26°C (79°F) under partly cloudy skies, with light westerly winds and stable high pressure around 30.15 inches supporting gradual afternoon warming without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures. Current conditions show morning readings climbing from the mid-teens Celsius, aligning with typical diurnal patterns for early September under a mild anticyclonic regime. This setup exceeds the long-term climatological average maximum of approximately 21–22°C for the date, driven by warmer-than-normal regional air masses and clear intervals allowing solar heating. With resolution hinging on official observations (likely Météo-France station data), traders have converged on 25°C as the modal outcome, reflecting model consensus and the absence of disruptive fronts or stronger winds that could alter the peak. Updated model runs through the morning have shown minimal shifts, reinforcing the narrow 24–26°C range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 12 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 12 de setembro?
25°C 63%
26°C 26%
24°C 11%
27°C 2%
$29,534 Vol.
$29,534 Vol.
12 set 2026
20°C ou menos
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
11%
25°C
63%
26°C
26%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou mais
<1%
25°C 63%
26°C 26%
24°C 11%
27°C 2%
$29,534 Vol.
$29,534 Vol.
12 set 2026
20°C ou menos
$2,519 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,285 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,072 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,882 Vol.
1%
24°C
$5,622 Vol.
11%
25°C
$6,050 Vol.
63%
26°C
$5,534 Vol.
26%
27°C
$2,422 Vol.
2%
28°C
$1,350 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,569 Vol.
<1%
30°C ou mais
$230 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and real-time observations indicate a peak temperature of 25–26°C for Paris on September 12, 2026, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities.** Multiple sources, including GFS-based forecasts and local monitoring, project a daytime high near 26°C (79°F) under partly cloudy skies, with light westerly winds and stable high pressure around 30.15 inches supporting gradual afternoon warming without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures.
Current conditions show morning readings climbing from the mid-teens Celsius, aligning with typical diurnal patterns for early September under a mild anticyclonic regime. This setup exceeds the long-term climatological average maximum of approximately 21–22°C for the date, driven by warmer-than-normal regional air masses and clear intervals allowing solar heating.
With resolution hinging on official observations (likely Météo-France station data), traders have converged on 25°C as the modal outcome, reflecting model consensus and the absence of disruptive fronts or stronger winds that could alter the peak. Updated model runs through the morning have shown minimal shifts, reinforcing the narrow 24–26°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$29,534Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and real-time observations indicate a peak temperature of 25–26°C for Paris on September 12, 2026, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities.** Multiple sources, including GFS-based forecasts and local monitoring, project a daytime high near 26°C (79°F) under partly cloudy skies, with light westerly winds and stable high pressure around 30.15 inches supporting gradual afternoon warming without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures.
Current conditions show morning readings climbing from the mid-teens Celsius, aligning with typical diurnal patterns for early September under a mild anticyclonic regime. This setup exceeds the long-term climatological average maximum of approximately 21–22°C for the date, driven by warmer-than-normal regional air masses and clear intervals allowing solar heating.
With resolution hinging on official observations (likely Météo-France station data), traders have converged on 25°C as the modal outcome, reflecting model consensus and the absence of disruptive fronts or stronger winds that could alter the peak. Updated model runs through the morning have shown minimal shifts, reinforcing the narrow 24–26°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,534Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and real-time observations indicate a peak temperature of 25–26°C for Paris on September 12, 2026, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities.** Multiple sources, including GFS-based forecasts and local monitoring, project a daytime high near 26°C (79°F) under partly cloudy skies, with light westerly winds and stable high pressure around 30.15 inches supporting gradual afternoon warming without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures. Current conditions show morning readings climbing from the mid-teens Celsius, aligning with typical diurnal patterns for early September under a mild anticyclonic regime. This setup exceeds the long-term climatological average maximum of approximately 21–22°C for the date, driven by warmer-than-normal regional air masses and clear intervals allowing solar heating. With resolution hinging on official observations (likely Météo-France station data), traders have converged on 25°C as the modal outcome, reflecting model consensus and the absence of disruptive fronts or stronger winds that could alter the peak. Updated model runs through the morning have shown minimal shifts, reinforcing the narrow 24–26°C range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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