Current forecasts from numerical weather models, including GFS runs, indicate Busan will reach afternoon highs near 30°C on September 12 under partly cloudy conditions with moderate easterly winds and low precipitation chances. This aligns with observed temperatures already in the upper 20s°C midday and typical late-summer thermal patterns for the coastal city. Trader consensus at 98.9% implied probability for exactly 30°C as the daily high reflects these stable conditions and limited variability in short-range guidance. A shift to greater cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or earlier cooling could cap readings at 29°C or below, though such changes appear unlikely based on the latest data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Busan em 12 de setembro?
30°C 99.4%
32°C <1%
31°C <1%
24°C ou menos <1%
$24,649 Vol.
$24,649 Vol.
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
99%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C ou mais
<1%
30°C 99.4%
32°C <1%
31°C <1%
24°C ou menos <1%
$24,649 Vol.
$24,649 Vol.
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
99%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from numerical weather models, including GFS runs, indicate Busan will reach afternoon highs near 30°C on September 12 under partly cloudy conditions with moderate easterly winds and low precipitation chances. This aligns with observed temperatures already in the upper 20s°C midday and typical late-summer thermal patterns for the coastal city. Trader consensus at 98.9% implied probability for exactly 30°C as the daily high reflects these stable conditions and limited variability in short-range guidance. A shift to greater cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or earlier cooling could cap readings at 29°C or below, though such changes appear unlikely based on the latest data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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