Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 26–27°C for Chongqing on September 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northeast winds, and elevated humidity that suppress daytime heating ahead of approaching rain. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 25–27°C outcomes, as reduced solar insolation and modest advection limit peaks below seasonal norms near 27°C. Official guidance highlights overcast skies with only isolated light precipitation, keeping maximum temperatures in a narrow range rather than allowing stronger warming or rapid cooling. Traders appear to weigh the consensus from short-range model runs, where minor shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture could nudge the daily high by 1°C. Updated guidance later today will refine land-surface and boundary conditions ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chongqing em 14 de setembro?
26°C 27%
27°C 23%
25°C 21%
28°C 11%
23°C ou menos
7%
24°C
9%
25°C
21%
26°C
27%
27°C
23%
28°C
11%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C ou superior
<1%
26°C 27%
27°C 23%
25°C 21%
28°C 11%
23°C ou menos
7%
24°C
9%
25°C
21%
26°C
27%
27°C
23%
28°C
11%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C ou superior
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 26–27°C for Chongqing on September 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northeast winds, and elevated humidity that suppress daytime heating ahead of approaching rain. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 25–27°C outcomes, as reduced solar insolation and modest advection limit peaks below seasonal norms near 27°C. Official guidance highlights overcast skies with only isolated light precipitation, keeping maximum temperatures in a narrow range rather than allowing stronger warming or rapid cooling. Traders appear to weigh the consensus from short-range model runs, where minor shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture could nudge the daily high by 1°C. Updated guidance later today will refine land-surface and boundary conditions ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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