**Recent forecasts for Buenos Aires on September 14 show daytime maxima clustered between roughly 12–16°C, aligning with the market’s tightest probabilities around 15–16°C.** Official guidance from the Argentine Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models (ECMWF, GFS) indicate a continuation of cooler-than-average spring conditions linked to lingering El Niño influences, which have favored below-normal temperatures and variable cloud cover across the region this month. Light northerly winds on the 14th are expected to limit strong warming, while mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and modest dew points around 3–7°C should cap the peak near the seasonal mean rather than allowing a sharper rebound. Small differences in model timing of any cloud breaks or wind shifts explain the close 15–17°C spread in trader sentiment, with resolution hinging on the final observed maximum reported by the official station network. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of the date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires em 14 de setembro?
16°C 40%
15°C 39%
17°C 38%
18°C 16%
10°C ou menos
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
4%
13°C
8%
14°C
11%
15°C
25%
16°C
28%
17°C
38%
18°C
16%
19°C
9%
20°C ou mais
4%
16°C 40%
15°C 39%
17°C 38%
18°C 16%
10°C ou menos
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
4%
13°C
8%
14°C
11%
15°C
25%
16°C
28%
17°C
38%
18°C
16%
19°C
9%
20°C ou mais
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts for Buenos Aires on September 14 show daytime maxima clustered between roughly 12–16°C, aligning with the market’s tightest probabilities around 15–16°C.** Official guidance from the Argentine Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models (ECMWF, GFS) indicate a continuation of cooler-than-average spring conditions linked to lingering El Niño influences, which have favored below-normal temperatures and variable cloud cover across the region this month. Light northerly winds on the 14th are expected to limit strong warming, while mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and modest dew points around 3–7°C should cap the peak near the seasonal mean rather than allowing a sharper rebound. Small differences in model timing of any cloud breaks or wind shifts explain the close 15–17°C spread in trader sentiment, with resolution hinging on the final observed maximum reported by the official station network. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of the date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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