Latest ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS point to a maximum temperature near 10–11°C in Buenos Aires on September 13 under strengthening high pressure, southerly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. This setup follows cooler conditions on September 12, with dry air and light winds expected to keep the peak modest yet sensitive to small timing shifts in cloud cover or wind direction. Market-implied odds clustering around 12–13°C reflect traders weighing residual model spread and the inherent uncertainty of short-range temperature predictions, where even modest changes in boundary-layer mixing or insolation can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and afternoon observations will provide the decisive data for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires no dia 13 de setembro?
13°C 38%
12°C 37%
14°C 12%
11°C 11%
8°C ou menos
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
4%
11°C
11%
12°C
37%
13°C
38%
14°C
12%
15°C
4%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C ou mais
<1%
13°C 38%
12°C 37%
14°C 12%
11°C 11%
8°C ou menos
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
4%
11°C
11%
12°C
37%
13°C
38%
14°C
12%
15°C
4%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS point to a maximum temperature near 10–11°C in Buenos Aires on September 13 under strengthening high pressure, southerly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. This setup follows cooler conditions on September 12, with dry air and light winds expected to keep the peak modest yet sensitive to small timing shifts in cloud cover or wind direction. Market-implied odds clustering around 12–13°C reflect traders weighing residual model spread and the inherent uncertainty of short-range temperature predictions, where even modest changes in boundary-layer mixing or insolation can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and afternoon observations will provide the decisive data for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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