**Trader consensus at 97% against a 2026 hantavirus pandemic reflects the virus’s limited transmissibility and the contained nature of recent activity.** Andes virus, the only strain with documented human-to-human spread, requires prolonged close contact and produced just 8–13 cases with three deaths during the May 2026 MV Hondius cruise-ship cluster before authorities declared monitoring complete by early July. CDC and WHO assessments emphasized extremely low risk to the general public, noting that most hantaviruses transmit primarily via rodent excreta rather than sustained respiratory routes. Endemic seasonal cases in Argentina and Chile remain localized without evidence of efficient community transmission or evolutionary changes enabling pandemic potential. While rodent population surges or rare mutational shifts could theoretically increase spillovers, current surveillance data show no trajectory toward widespread outbreaks by year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPandemia de hantavírus em 2026?
Pandemia de hantavírus em 2026?
Sim
3% chance
$18,036,279 Vol.
$18,036,279 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
3% chance
$18,036,279 Vol.
$18,036,279 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus at 97% against a 2026 hantavirus pandemic reflects the virus’s limited transmissibility and the contained nature of recent activity.** Andes virus, the only strain with documented human-to-human spread, requires prolonged close contact and produced just 8–13 cases with three deaths during the May 2026 MV Hondius cruise-ship cluster before authorities declared monitoring complete by early July. CDC and WHO assessments emphasized extremely low risk to the general public, noting that most hantaviruses transmit primarily via rodent excreta rather than sustained respiratory routes. Endemic seasonal cases in Argentina and Chile remain localized without evidence of efficient community transmission or evolutionary changes enabling pandemic potential. While rodent population surges or rare mutational shifts could theoretically increase spillovers, current surveillance data show no trajectory toward widespread outbreaks by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
Volume
$18,036,279Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus at 97% against a 2026 hantavirus pandemic reflects the virus’s limited transmissibility and the contained nature of recent activity.** Andes virus, the only strain with documented human-to-human spread, requires prolonged close contact and produced just 8–13 cases with three deaths during the May 2026 MV Hondius cruise-ship cluster before authorities declared monitoring complete by early July. CDC and WHO assessments emphasized extremely low risk to the general public, noting that most hantaviruses transmit primarily via rodent excreta rather than sustained respiratory routes. Endemic seasonal cases in Argentina and Chile remain localized without evidence of efficient community transmission or evolutionary changes enabling pandemic potential. While rodent population surges or rare mutational shifts could theoretically increase spillovers, current surveillance data show no trajectory toward widespread outbreaks by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,036,279Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus at 97% against a 2026 hantavirus pandemic reflects the virus’s limited transmissibility and the contained nature of recent activity.** Andes virus, the only strain with documented human-to-human spread, requires prolonged close contact and produced just 8–13 cases with three deaths during the May 2026 MV Hondius cruise-ship cluster before authorities declared monitoring complete by early July. CDC and WHO assessments emphasized extremely low risk to the general public, noting that most hantaviruses transmit primarily via rodent excreta rather than sustained respiratory routes. Endemic seasonal cases in Argentina and Chile remain localized without evidence of efficient community transmission or evolutionary changes enabling pandemic potential. While rodent population surges or rare mutational shifts could theoretically increase spillovers, current surveillance data show no trajectory toward widespread outbreaks by year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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