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Clima previsões e probabilidades

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Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

42%

<4m sq km

$33.7K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

6

Ends em 5 meses

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

32%

$326K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

9

Ends em 8 meses

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

7%

$16.0K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

18%

$339K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

10%

$75.0K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

9

Ends em 11 meses

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

28%

$215K Vol.

$13.7K Liq.

6

Ends em 8 meses

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

66%

Other (incl $SPCX)

$5M Vol.

$155K Liq.

220

Ends em mais de 1 ano

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

94%

>$1T

$1M Vol.

$89.0K Liq.

19

Ends em mais de 1 ano

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

56%

2.0T+

$841K Vol.

$70.7K Liq.

8

Ends em mais de 1 ano

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

95%

1T+

$3M Vol.

$113K Liq.

42

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

89%

SpaceX

$2M Vol.

$182K Liq.

10

Ends em 8 meses

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

86%

1250+

$70.3K Vol.

$15.0K Liq.

1

Ends em 9 meses

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

55%

2

$3M Vol.

$117K Liq.

17

Ends em 8 meses

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

98%

↑2k

$8M Vol.

$25.2K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

37%

Morgan Stanley

$2M Vol.

$39.2K Liq.

17

Ends em mais de 1 ano

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

29%

14–16

$1M Vol.

$28.8K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

5%

$583K Vol.

$26.2K Liq.

26

Ends em 8 meses

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

93%

8+

$2M Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

30

Ends em 2 meses

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

22%

$146K Vol.

$12.0K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

New pandemic in 2026?

New pandemic in 2026?

11%

$238K Vol.

$32.4K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Clima.

Polymarket currently hosts 137 active markets for Clima that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $29.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Named storm forms before hurricane season?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↑1k. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Clima predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.