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icon for Nova pandemia em 2026?

Nova pandemia em 2026?

icon for Nova pandemia em 2026?

Nova pandemia em 2026?

Sim

7% chance
Polymarket

$1,006,964 Vol.

Sim

7% chance
Polymarket

$1,006,964 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.Enhanced global surveillance and rapid response capabilities since COVID-19 have kept regional outbreaks from escalating into a new pandemic through mid-2026. The Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda triggered a WHO Public Health Emergency of International Concern, yet remains geographically limited with hundreds of suspected cases rather than sustained global human-to-human chains. Measles surges, localized hantavirus clusters, and ongoing SARS-CoV-2 circulation reflect familiar pathogens under moderate risk assessments from CDC and WHO, without novel strains meeting pandemic thresholds. Trader consensus at 93.5% “No” reflects this containment and improved epidemiological indicators, though rapid viral evolution, zoonotic spillovers with high transmissibility, or surveillance gaps in conflict zones could still shift trajectories before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Volume
$1,006,964
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 1, 2025, 4:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.Enhanced global surveillance and rapid response capabilities since COVID-19 have kept regional outbreaks from escalating into a new pandemic through mid-2026. The Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda triggered a WHO Public Health Emergency of International Concern, yet remains geographically limited with hundreds of suspected cases rather than sustained global human-to-human chains. Measles surges, localized hantavirus clusters, and ongoing SARS-CoV-2 circulation reflect familiar pathogens under moderate risk assessments from CDC and WHO, without novel strains meeting pandemic thresholds. Trader consensus at 93.5% “No” reflects this containment and improved epidemiological indicators, though rapid viral evolution, zoonotic spillovers with high transmissibility, or surveillance gaps in conflict zones could still shift trajectories before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Volume
$1,006,964
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 1, 2025, 4:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Nova pandemia em 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nova pandemia em 2026?" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 7¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 7% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nova pandemia em 2026?" has generated $1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 1, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nova pandemia em 2026?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Nova pandemia em 2026?" is "Nova pandemia em 2026?" at just 7%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Nova pandemia em 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.