**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 31°C on September 5 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and brief sunshine, establishing the leading market outcome at 36% implied probability.** Multiple international models converge on highs of 29–31°C, reflecting moderating west-southwest winds after recent tropical cyclone influences and seasonal sea-surface temperatures near 25–26°C that limit rapid warming. Cloud cover and medium rain probability reduce solar heating potential, while slight model spread in precipitation timing creates the tight clustering between 29°C and 31°C. Updated HKO briefings and refined numerical guidance expected within 48 hours will likely narrow the range as steering patterns and convective development become clearer.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong no dia 5 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong no dia 5 de setembro?
31°C 36%
30°C 33%
29°C 23%
32°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
5 set 2026
24°C ou menos
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
23%
30°C
33%
31°C
36%
32°C
6%
33°C
3%
34°C ou mais
<1%
31°C 36%
30°C 33%
29°C 23%
32°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
5 set 2026
24°C ou menos
$5 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$5 Vol.
1%
28°C
$40 Vol.
3%
29°C
$19 Vol.
23%
30°C
$14 Vol.
33%
31°C
$10 Vol.
36%
32°C
$66 Vol.
6%
33°C
$8 Vol.
3%
34°C ou mais
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 31°C on September 5 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and brief sunshine, establishing the leading market outcome at 36% implied probability.** Multiple international models converge on highs of 29–31°C, reflecting moderating west-southwest winds after recent tropical cyclone influences and seasonal sea-surface temperatures near 25–26°C that limit rapid warming. Cloud cover and medium rain probability reduce solar heating potential, while slight model spread in precipitation timing creates the tight clustering between 29°C and 31°C. Updated HKO briefings and refined numerical guidance expected within 48 hours will likely narrow the range as steering patterns and convective development become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$160Data de Término
5 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 31°C on September 5 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and brief sunshine, establishing the leading market outcome at 36% implied probability.** Multiple international models converge on highs of 29–31°C, reflecting moderating west-southwest winds after recent tropical cyclone influences and seasonal sea-surface temperatures near 25–26°C that limit rapid warming. Cloud cover and medium rain probability reduce solar heating potential, while slight model spread in precipitation timing creates the tight clustering between 29°C and 31°C. Updated HKO briefings and refined numerical guidance expected within 48 hours will likely narrow the range as steering patterns and convective development become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$160Data de Término
5 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 31°C on September 5 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and brief sunshine, establishing the leading market outcome at 36% implied probability.** Multiple international models converge on highs of 29–31°C, reflecting moderating west-southwest winds after recent tropical cyclone influences and seasonal sea-surface temperatures near 25–26°C that limit rapid warming. Cloud cover and medium rain probability reduce solar heating potential, while slight model spread in precipitation timing creates the tight clustering between 29°C and 31°C. Updated HKO briefings and refined numerical guidance expected within 48 hours will likely narrow the range as steering patterns and convective development become clearer.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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