Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multiple global models indicate a maximum temperature of 28–31°C for September 3, driven by northwest winds of 4–5 Beaufort, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. High humidity near 70–95% and modest solar radiation under mostly cloudy skies support the market's tight clustering around 29–30°C as the most probable outcomes. Historical early-September baselines near 30–31°C provide context, while model spread and the potential for brief clearing or heavier rain introduce the modest uncertainty reflected in the 32% implied probability for 30°C versus 28.5% for 29°C. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing remain key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong no dia 3 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong no dia 3 de setembro?
30°C 29%
31°C 29%
29°C 15%
32°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
3 set 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
15%
30°C
29%
31°C
29%
32°C
10%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 29%
31°C 29%
29°C 15%
32°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
3 set 2026
23°C or below
$331 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$204 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$469 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$804 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,036 Vol.
2%
28°C
$581 Vol.
7%
29°C
$1,752 Vol.
15%
30°C
$2,454 Vol.
29%
31°C
$797 Vol.
29%
32°C
$1,703 Vol.
10%
33°C or higher
$722 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multiple global models indicate a maximum temperature of 28–31°C for September 3, driven by northwest winds of 4–5 Beaufort, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. High humidity near 70–95% and modest solar radiation under mostly cloudy skies support the market's tight clustering around 29–30°C as the most probable outcomes. Historical early-September baselines near 30–31°C provide context, while model spread and the potential for brief clearing or heavier rain introduce the modest uncertainty reflected in the 32% implied probability for 30°C versus 28.5% for 29°C. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,471Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multiple global models indicate a maximum temperature of 28–31°C for September 3, driven by northwest winds of 4–5 Beaufort, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. High humidity near 70–95% and modest solar radiation under mostly cloudy skies support the market's tight clustering around 29–30°C as the most probable outcomes. Historical early-September baselines near 30–31°C provide context, while model spread and the potential for brief clearing or heavier rain introduce the modest uncertainty reflected in the 32% implied probability for 30°C versus 28.5% for 29°C. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,471Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multiple global models indicate a maximum temperature of 28–31°C for September 3, driven by northwest winds of 4–5 Beaufort, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. High humidity near 70–95% and modest solar radiation under mostly cloudy skies support the market's tight clustering around 29–30°C as the most probable outcomes. Historical early-September baselines near 30–31°C provide context, while model spread and the potential for brief clearing or heavier rain introduce the modest uncertainty reflected in the 32% implied probability for 30°C versus 28.5% for 29°C. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing remain key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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