Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Shanghai on September 2 around 28–29°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall associated with an approaching weather system. High humidity, easterly winds, and reduced solar insolation limit daytime heating compared to clearer conditions earlier in the week. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution favoring 29°C over 30°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact peak timing amid showers. Historical September averages near 27°C provide context, but current steering patterns and precipitation probability (often exceeding 80%) tilt outcomes lower than recent hot spells. Updated model runs overnight will refine the precise high before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Xangai no dia 2 de setembro?
29°C 34%
30°C 29%
28°C 18%
31°C 14%
$30,098 Vol.
$30,098 Vol.
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
18%
29°C
34%
30°C
29%
31°C
14%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 34%
30°C 29%
28°C 18%
31°C 14%
$30,098 Vol.
$30,098 Vol.
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
18%
29°C
34%
30°C
29%
31°C
14%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Shanghai on September 2 around 28–29°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall associated with an approaching weather system. High humidity, easterly winds, and reduced solar insolation limit daytime heating compared to clearer conditions earlier in the week. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution favoring 29°C over 30°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact peak timing amid showers. Historical September averages near 27°C provide context, but current steering patterns and precipitation probability (often exceeding 80%) tilt outcomes lower than recent hot spells. Updated model runs overnight will refine the precise high before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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