Recent observational data from Sao Paulo meteorological stations, including Congonhas Airport reports, confirm the overnight minimum reached 12°C under clear skies and high-pressure conditions promoting radiational cooling. This aligns with September climatology for the region, where average lows hover near 12°C amid transitional spring patterns with moderate humidity and light easterly winds. Model consensus and real-time station readings showed little deviation below this threshold, as warmer advection remained limited and no significant cold front arrived. With resolution tied to verified daily minimums, trader consensus heavily favors the 12°C outcome at 90% implied probability, reflecting the close match to observed conditions rather than forecasts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em São Paulo no dia 2 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em São Paulo no dia 2 de setembro?
12°C 99%
11°C 23%
9°C ou menos 9%
13°C <1%
$1,974 Vol.
$1,974 Vol.
2 set 2026
9°C ou menos
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Sim
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C ou mais
Não
12°C 99%
11°C 23%
9°C ou menos 9%
13°C <1%
$1,974 Vol.
$1,974 Vol.
2 set 2026
9°C ou menos
$37 Vol.
Não
10°C
$174 Vol.
Não
11°C
$219 Vol.
Não
12°C
$321 Vol.
Sim
13°C
$226 Vol.
Não
14°C
$207 Vol.
Não
15°C
$164 Vol.
Não
16°C
$169 Vol.
Não
17°C
$139 Vol.
Não
18°C
$159 Vol.
Não
19°C ou mais
$159 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Sao Paulo meteorological stations, including Congonhas Airport reports, confirm the overnight minimum reached 12°C under clear skies and high-pressure conditions promoting radiational cooling. This aligns with September climatology for the region, where average lows hover near 12°C amid transitional spring patterns with moderate humidity and light easterly winds. Model consensus and real-time station readings showed little deviation below this threshold, as warmer advection remained limited and no significant cold front arrived. With resolution tied to verified daily minimums, trader consensus heavily favors the 12°C outcome at 90% implied probability, reflecting the close match to observed conditions rather than forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
Volume
$1,974Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 8:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Sao Paulo meteorological stations, including Congonhas Airport reports, confirm the overnight minimum reached 12°C under clear skies and high-pressure conditions promoting radiational cooling. This aligns with September climatology for the region, where average lows hover near 12°C amid transitional spring patterns with moderate humidity and light easterly winds. Model consensus and real-time station readings showed little deviation below this threshold, as warmer advection remained limited and no significant cold front arrived. With resolution tied to verified daily minimums, trader consensus heavily favors the 12°C outcome at 90% implied probability, reflecting the close match to observed conditions rather than forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,974Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 8:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent observational data from Sao Paulo meteorological stations, including Congonhas Airport reports, confirm the overnight minimum reached 12°C under clear skies and high-pressure conditions promoting radiational cooling. This aligns with September climatology for the region, where average lows hover near 12°C amid transitional spring patterns with moderate humidity and light easterly winds. Model consensus and real-time station readings showed little deviation below this threshold, as warmer advection remained limited and no significant cold front arrived. With resolution tied to verified daily minimums, trader consensus heavily favors the 12°C outcome at 90% implied probability, reflecting the close match to observed conditions rather than forecasts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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