Trader sentiment positions 15°C as the frontrunner for Mexico City’s lowest temperature on September 5, reflecting National Meteorological Service data and ensemble model consensus showing stable subtropical high pressure and limited nocturnal cooling at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. Recent surface observations from nearby stations indicate overnight lows in the 14–16°C range, consistent with September climatology where average minima hover near 12–14°C absent strong cold fronts. Model runs highlight minimal variability from urban heat island effects or localized cloud cover, though slight downward revisions could occur with final CONAGUA verification. Key resolution hinges on the official minimum recorded at the central observatory, with traders monitoring any late adjustments from microclimate differences.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa na Cidade do México em 5 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa na Cidade do México em 5 de setembro?
15°C 99%
7°C ou menos 20%
13°C 20%
14°C 20%
$1,282 Vol.
$1,282 Vol.
5 set 2026
7°C ou menos
Não
8°C
Não
9°C
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Sim
16°C
Não
17°C ou mais
Não
15°C 99%
7°C ou menos 20%
13°C 20%
14°C 20%
$1,282 Vol.
$1,282 Vol.
5 set 2026
7°C ou menos
$20 Vol.
Não
8°C
$12 Vol.
Não
9°C
$57 Vol.
Não
10°C
$32 Vol.
Não
11°C
$37 Vol.
Não
12°C
$39 Vol.
Não
13°C
$37 Vol.
Não
14°C
$39 Vol.
Não
15°C
$209 Vol.
Sim
16°C
$694 Vol.
Não
17°C ou mais
$106 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment positions 15°C as the frontrunner for Mexico City’s lowest temperature on September 5, reflecting National Meteorological Service data and ensemble model consensus showing stable subtropical high pressure and limited nocturnal cooling at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. Recent surface observations from nearby stations indicate overnight lows in the 14–16°C range, consistent with September climatology where average minima hover near 12–14°C absent strong cold fronts. Model runs highlight minimal variability from urban heat island effects or localized cloud cover, though slight downward revisions could occur with final CONAGUA verification. Key resolution hinges on the official minimum recorded at the central observatory, with traders monitoring any late adjustments from microclimate differences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,282Data de Término
5 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment positions 15°C as the frontrunner for Mexico City’s lowest temperature on September 5, reflecting National Meteorological Service data and ensemble model consensus showing stable subtropical high pressure and limited nocturnal cooling at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. Recent surface observations from nearby stations indicate overnight lows in the 14–16°C range, consistent with September climatology where average minima hover near 12–14°C absent strong cold fronts. Model runs highlight minimal variability from urban heat island effects or localized cloud cover, though slight downward revisions could occur with final CONAGUA verification. Key resolution hinges on the official minimum recorded at the central observatory, with traders monitoring any late adjustments from microclimate differences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,282Data de Término
5 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader sentiment positions 15°C as the frontrunner for Mexico City’s lowest temperature on September 5, reflecting National Meteorological Service data and ensemble model consensus showing stable subtropical high pressure and limited nocturnal cooling at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. Recent surface observations from nearby stations indicate overnight lows in the 14–16°C range, consistent with September climatology where average minima hover near 12–14°C absent strong cold fronts. Model runs highlight minimal variability from urban heat island effects or localized cloud cover, though slight downward revisions could occur with final CONAGUA verification. Key resolution hinges on the official minimum recorded at the central observatory, with traders monitoring any late adjustments from microclimate differences.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions