Latest numerical weather models from sources including GFS consensus show Chengdu under persistent cloud cover and light winds on September 21, supporting a daily maximum near 27–28 °C with minimal solar heating and slight moisture. This aligns with trader emphasis on those outcomes, as overcast conditions and modest steering patterns limit upward spikes while preventing sharp cooling. Minor model differences in afternoon clearing timing or boundary-layer moisture could easily shift the peak by 1 °C, producing the observed spread across 27–30 °C bins. Historical late-September baselines for the Sichuan basin average around 25–26 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly that keeps probabilities tightly clustered rather than favoring extremes. Updated model runs and observational adjustments over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chengdu em 21 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Chengdu em 21 de setembro?
29°C 35%
28°C 28%
27°C 25%
30°C 18%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
24°C ou menos
6%
25°C
15%
26°C
16%
27°C
25%
28°C
28%
29°C
25%
30°C
18%
31°C
17%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C ou mais
<1%
29°C 35%
28°C 28%
27°C 25%
30°C 18%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
24°C ou menos
$7 Vol.
6%
25°C
$0 Vol.
15%
26°C
$0 Vol.
16%
27°C
$0 Vol.
25%
28°C
$0 Vol.
28%
29°C
$5 Vol.
25%
30°C
$0 Vol.
18%
31°C
$22 Vol.
17%
32°C
$0 Vol.
4%
33°C
$0 Vol.
2%
34°C ou mais
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models from sources including GFS consensus show Chengdu under persistent cloud cover and light winds on September 21, supporting a daily maximum near 27–28 °C with minimal solar heating and slight moisture. This aligns with trader emphasis on those outcomes, as overcast conditions and modest steering patterns limit upward spikes while preventing sharp cooling. Minor model differences in afternoon clearing timing or boundary-layer moisture could easily shift the peak by 1 °C, producing the observed spread across 27–30 °C bins. Historical late-September baselines for the Sichuan basin average around 25–26 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly that keeps probabilities tightly clustered rather than favoring extremes. Updated model runs and observational adjustments over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$145Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models from sources including GFS consensus show Chengdu under persistent cloud cover and light winds on September 21, supporting a daily maximum near 27–28 °C with minimal solar heating and slight moisture. This aligns with trader emphasis on those outcomes, as overcast conditions and modest steering patterns limit upward spikes while preventing sharp cooling. Minor model differences in afternoon clearing timing or boundary-layer moisture could easily shift the peak by 1 °C, producing the observed spread across 27–30 °C bins. Historical late-September baselines for the Sichuan basin average around 25–26 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly that keeps probabilities tightly clustered rather than favoring extremes. Updated model runs and observational adjustments over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$145Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather models from sources including GFS consensus show Chengdu under persistent cloud cover and light winds on September 21, supporting a daily maximum near 27–28 °C with minimal solar heating and slight moisture. This aligns with trader emphasis on those outcomes, as overcast conditions and modest steering patterns limit upward spikes while preventing sharp cooling. Minor model differences in afternoon clearing timing or boundary-layer moisture could easily shift the peak by 1 °C, producing the observed spread across 27–30 °C bins. Historical late-September baselines for the Sichuan basin average around 25–26 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly that keeps probabilities tightly clustered rather than favoring extremes. Updated model runs and observational adjustments over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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