Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high near 72°F in Central Park on September 19, driven by a post-frontal northeast flow and building high pressure that will deliver mostly sunny skies and dry conditions after warmer southerly flow earlier in the week. This setup favors afternoon maxima in the 70-72°F range, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 70-71°F bin. Historical mid-September climatology for NYC shows similar cooling episodes when northerly winds follow frontal passages, reducing the likelihood of readings above 74°F unless models trend warmer. Traders are monitoring the next NWS update and any short-range model shifts that could adjust the exact peak.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Nova York em 19 de setembro?
70-71°F 47%
72-73°F 36%
68-69°F 22%
74-75°F 21%
61°F ou menos
2%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
47%
72-73°F
36%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
3%
80°F ou mais
2%
70-71°F 47%
72-73°F 36%
68-69°F 22%
74-75°F 21%
61°F ou menos
2%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
47%
72-73°F
36%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
3%
80°F ou mais
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 17, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high near 72°F in Central Park on September 19, driven by a post-frontal northeast flow and building high pressure that will deliver mostly sunny skies and dry conditions after warmer southerly flow earlier in the week. This setup favors afternoon maxima in the 70-72°F range, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 70-71°F bin. Historical mid-September climatology for NYC shows similar cooling episodes when northerly winds follow frontal passages, reducing the likelihood of readings above 74°F unless models trend warmer. Traders are monitoring the next NWS update and any short-range model shifts that could adjust the exact peak.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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