**Forecast models and official guidance point to a maximum temperature of 27–28°C in the Incheon/Seoul area on September 17, 2026, aligning with the market's heavy weighting on those two outcomes (57% and 36%).** Multiple sources, including KMA-aligned forecasts and international models, project a daytime high near 27–28°C (roughly 81°F) under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with easterly winds of 5–9 mph and negligible precipitation risk. This reflects typical mid-September climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 25–26°C as summer monsoon influences wane and autumn cooling begins, without active heatwaves or strong cold fronts. Recent stability in atmospheric conditions—high pressure and consistent easterly flow—has kept model runs steady, limiting upside or downside surprises. Hourly data show peaks in the afternoon around 27–28°C before gradual evening decline, with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius supporting moderate humidity and no extreme diurnal swings. The slim probabilities on 29°C+ or sub-26°C outcomes reflect low ensemble spread and the absence of unexpected developments such as clearer skies or stronger advection that could shift the maximum by a degree or more. Traders are effectively pricing the consensus from authoritative meteorological sources, with resolution hinging on official station readings from Incheon or Seoul later in the day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 17 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 17 de setembro?
27°C 53%
28°C 43%
29°C 4%
30°C <1%
NOVO
$41,332 Vol.
NOVO
$41,332 Vol.
17 set 2026
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
53%
28°C
43%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C ou mais
<1%
27°C 53%
28°C 43%
29°C 4%
30°C <1%
NOVO
$41,332 Vol.
NOVO
$41,332 Vol.
17 set 2026
22°C ou menos
$498 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$852 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,271 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$6,534 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$11,354 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5,322 Vol.
53%
28°C
$5,747 Vol.
43%
29°C
$3,704 Vol.
4%
30°C
$1,988 Vol.
1%
31°C
$2,742 Vol.
1%
32°C ou mais
$323 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance point to a maximum temperature of 27–28°C in the Incheon/Seoul area on September 17, 2026, aligning with the market's heavy weighting on those two outcomes (57% and 36%).** Multiple sources, including KMA-aligned forecasts and international models, project a daytime high near 27–28°C (roughly 81°F) under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with easterly winds of 5–9 mph and negligible precipitation risk. This reflects typical mid-September climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 25–26°C as summer monsoon influences wane and autumn cooling begins, without active heatwaves or strong cold fronts.
Recent stability in atmospheric conditions—high pressure and consistent easterly flow—has kept model runs steady, limiting upside or downside surprises. Hourly data show peaks in the afternoon around 27–28°C before gradual evening decline, with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius supporting moderate humidity and no extreme diurnal swings. The slim probabilities on 29°C+ or sub-26°C outcomes reflect low ensemble spread and the absence of unexpected developments such as clearer skies or stronger advection that could shift the maximum by a degree or more. Traders are effectively pricing the consensus from authoritative meteorological sources, with resolution hinging on official station readings from Incheon or Seoul later in the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$41,332Data de Término
17 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance point to a maximum temperature of 27–28°C in the Incheon/Seoul area on September 17, 2026, aligning with the market's heavy weighting on those two outcomes (57% and 36%).** Multiple sources, including KMA-aligned forecasts and international models, project a daytime high near 27–28°C (roughly 81°F) under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with easterly winds of 5–9 mph and negligible precipitation risk. This reflects typical mid-September climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 25–26°C as summer monsoon influences wane and autumn cooling begins, without active heatwaves or strong cold fronts.
Recent stability in atmospheric conditions—high pressure and consistent easterly flow—has kept model runs steady, limiting upside or downside surprises. Hourly data show peaks in the afternoon around 27–28°C before gradual evening decline, with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius supporting moderate humidity and no extreme diurnal swings. The slim probabilities on 29°C+ or sub-26°C outcomes reflect low ensemble spread and the absence of unexpected developments such as clearer skies or stronger advection that could shift the maximum by a degree or more. Traders are effectively pricing the consensus from authoritative meteorological sources, with resolution hinging on official station readings from Incheon or Seoul later in the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41,332Data de Término
17 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance point to a maximum temperature of 27–28°C in the Incheon/Seoul area on September 17, 2026, aligning with the market's heavy weighting on those two outcomes (57% and 36%).** Multiple sources, including KMA-aligned forecasts and international models, project a daytime high near 27–28°C (roughly 81°F) under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with easterly winds of 5–9 mph and negligible precipitation risk. This reflects typical mid-September climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 25–26°C as summer monsoon influences wane and autumn cooling begins, without active heatwaves or strong cold fronts. Recent stability in atmospheric conditions—high pressure and consistent easterly flow—has kept model runs steady, limiting upside or downside surprises. Hourly data show peaks in the afternoon around 27–28°C before gradual evening decline, with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius supporting moderate humidity and no extreme diurnal swings. The slim probabilities on 29°C+ or sub-26°C outcomes reflect low ensemble spread and the absence of unexpected developments such as clearer skies or stronger advection that could shift the maximum by a degree or more. Traders are effectively pricing the consensus from authoritative meteorological sources, with resolution hinging on official station readings from Incheon or Seoul later in the day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions