Trader consensus centers on 70–73°F for San Francisco’s highest temperature on September 18, reflecting model guidance showing mild conditions under a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific. Typical September highs average near 71°F, with sea breezes and coastal stratus limiting afternoon warming despite seasonal solar input. Recent forecasts from operational models indicate highs in the upper 60s to low 70s, with minimal warming expected from any offshore flow or clear-sky periods. Key variables include the depth of the marine inversion and wind direction shifts that could allow brief inland heating. Updated National Weather Service guidance and morning soundings will refine these ranges ahead of the 24-hour observation window used for market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 18 de setembro?
70-71°F 37%
72-73°F 29%
68-69°F 19%
66-67°F 5%
63°F ou menos
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
37%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
1%
82°F ou mais
1%
70-71°F 37%
72-73°F 29%
68-69°F 19%
66-67°F 5%
63°F ou menos
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
37%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
1%
82°F ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 70–73°F for San Francisco’s highest temperature on September 18, reflecting model guidance showing mild conditions under a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific. Typical September highs average near 71°F, with sea breezes and coastal stratus limiting afternoon warming despite seasonal solar input. Recent forecasts from operational models indicate highs in the upper 60s to low 70s, with minimal warming expected from any offshore flow or clear-sky periods. Key variables include the depth of the marine inversion and wind direction shifts that could allow brief inland heating. Updated National Weather Service guidance and morning soundings will refine these ranges ahead of the 24-hour observation window used for market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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