**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate Miami's overnight low on September 19 will likely fall in the mid to upper 70s°F amid typical late-summer conditions of scattered thunderstorms, easterly flow, and high humidity.** Recent model runs show consistency with no major synoptic changes, such as frontal passages or tropical influences, keeping temperatures aligned with seasonal baselines where Miami minima average near 77°F in mid-September. Slight differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speeds, and precipitation timing create uncertainty in the exact minimum, as these factors modulate nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow forecast spread, with the closest bins (74–77°F) capturing most implied probability while lower or higher outcomes remain possible if steering patterns or local effects shift. Updated NWS guidance and model ensembles ahead of the date will likely refine these odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Miami em 19 de setembro?
76-77°F 39%
74-75°F 29%
72-73°F 19%
78-79°F 16%
69°F ou menos
7%
21-22°C
11%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88°F ou mais
1%
76-77°F 39%
74-75°F 29%
72-73°F 19%
78-79°F 16%
69°F ou menos
7%
21-22°C
11%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88°F ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate Miami's overnight low on September 19 will likely fall in the mid to upper 70s°F amid typical late-summer conditions of scattered thunderstorms, easterly flow, and high humidity.** Recent model runs show consistency with no major synoptic changes, such as frontal passages or tropical influences, keeping temperatures aligned with seasonal baselines where Miami minima average near 77°F in mid-September. Slight differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speeds, and precipitation timing create uncertainty in the exact minimum, as these factors modulate nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow forecast spread, with the closest bins (74–77°F) capturing most implied probability while lower or higher outcomes remain possible if steering patterns or local effects shift. Updated NWS guidance and model ensembles ahead of the date will likely refine these odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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