Recent model consensus from sources including global ensembles and the South African Weather Service indicates a high of 21–24°C for Cape Town on September 19 under clear skies and light southerly winds, following stronger southeasterlies earlier in the week. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 23–25°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of typical spring warming above the 19–20°C seasonal average while accounting for forecast spread in peak timing and localized effects around Table Mountain. Official updates from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on the daily maximum reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 19 de setembro?
21°C 39%
25°C 39%
23°C 32%
24°C 25%
18°C ou menos
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
39%
22°C
13%
23°C
32%
24°C
25%
25°C
39%
26°C
20%
27°C
19%
28°C ou mais
<1%
21°C 39%
25°C 39%
23°C 32%
24°C 25%
18°C ou menos
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
39%
22°C
13%
23°C
32%
24°C
25%
25°C
39%
26°C
20%
27°C
19%
28°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including global ensembles and the South African Weather Service indicates a high of 21–24°C for Cape Town on September 19 under clear skies and light southerly winds, following stronger southeasterlies earlier in the week. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 23–25°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of typical spring warming above the 19–20°C seasonal average while accounting for forecast spread in peak timing and localized effects around Table Mountain. Official updates from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on the daily maximum reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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