Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Qingdao will experience partly cloudy to clear conditions on September 19 with southeast to southerly winds of 3–4 levels moderating coastal temperatures. Consensus highs cluster around 25–27°C, reflecting typical mid-September patterns for the Yellow Sea region where marine influence caps extremes compared to inland Shandong sites reaching 32–33°C. Trader emphasis on 29–30°C outcomes likely stems from uncertainty in model spread, potential for localized warming under clearing skies, or measurement at urban stations versus official airport data, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum reported by local meteorological authorities. New model updates expected in the next 48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Qingdao em 19 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Qingdao em 19 de setembro?
30°C 55%
29°C 33%
31°C 10%
27°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
19 set 2026
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
5%
29°C
33%
30°C
55%
31°C
10%
32°C ou mais
4%
30°C 55%
29°C 33%
31°C 10%
27°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
19 set 2026
22°C ou menos
$193 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
3%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$0 Vol.
7%
28°C
$17 Vol.
5%
29°C
$50 Vol.
33%
30°C
$292 Vol.
55%
31°C
$92 Vol.
10%
32°C ou mais
$17 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Qingdao will experience partly cloudy to clear conditions on September 19 with southeast to southerly winds of 3–4 levels moderating coastal temperatures. Consensus highs cluster around 25–27°C, reflecting typical mid-September patterns for the Yellow Sea region where marine influence caps extremes compared to inland Shandong sites reaching 32–33°C. Trader emphasis on 29–30°C outcomes likely stems from uncertainty in model spread, potential for localized warming under clearing skies, or measurement at urban stations versus official airport data, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum reported by local meteorological authorities. New model updates expected in the next 48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$723Data de Término
19 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Qingdao will experience partly cloudy to clear conditions on September 19 with southeast to southerly winds of 3–4 levels moderating coastal temperatures. Consensus highs cluster around 25–27°C, reflecting typical mid-September patterns for the Yellow Sea region where marine influence caps extremes compared to inland Shandong sites reaching 32–33°C. Trader emphasis on 29–30°C outcomes likely stems from uncertainty in model spread, potential for localized warming under clearing skies, or measurement at urban stations versus official airport data, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum reported by local meteorological authorities. New model updates expected in the next 48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$723Data de Término
19 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Qingdao will experience partly cloudy to clear conditions on September 19 with southeast to southerly winds of 3–4 levels moderating coastal temperatures. Consensus highs cluster around 25–27°C, reflecting typical mid-September patterns for the Yellow Sea region where marine influence caps extremes compared to inland Shandong sites reaching 32–33°C. Trader emphasis on 29–30°C outcomes likely stems from uncertainty in model spread, potential for localized warming under clearing skies, or measurement at urban stations versus official airport data, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum reported by local meteorological authorities. New model updates expected in the next 48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions