**Forecast models indicate a peak temperature near 21–22°C in Buenos Aires on September 18 under stable high-pressure conditions and light northeast flow.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug (21°C), tutiempo.net and the UK Met Office (22°C), and others ranging 20–22°C, show partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk and modest daytime heating from spring insolation. This consensus supports the market’s clustering around 22–24°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of typical September variability and limited model spread. No major frontal systems or anomalous warmth are expected, keeping probabilities for 25°C+ low while colder scenarios remain unlikely given overnight lows near 14–15°C. Updated runs from agencies such as NOAA or Argentina’s SMN will refine exact maxima before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires em 18 de setembro?
23°C 36%
24°C 25%
22°C 20%
25°C 10%
16°C ou menos
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
20%
23°C
36%
24°C
25%
25°C
10%
26°C ou mais
4%
23°C 36%
24°C 25%
22°C 20%
25°C 10%
16°C ou menos
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
20%
23°C
36%
24°C
25%
25°C
10%
26°C ou mais
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate a peak temperature near 21–22°C in Buenos Aires on September 18 under stable high-pressure conditions and light northeast flow.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug (21°C), tutiempo.net and the UK Met Office (22°C), and others ranging 20–22°C, show partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk and modest daytime heating from spring insolation. This consensus supports the market’s clustering around 22–24°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of typical September variability and limited model spread. No major frontal systems or anomalous warmth are expected, keeping probabilities for 25°C+ low while colder scenarios remain unlikely given overnight lows near 14–15°C. Updated runs from agencies such as NOAA or Argentina’s SMN will refine exact maxima before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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