Recent model runs show Moscow under southwesterly flow with mostly cloudy skies and light winds, keeping overnight minimum temperatures near 10–13 °C on September 19 according to consensus guidance from GFS and ECMWF. This setup favors the market’s near-even split between 3 °C or below and 13 °C or higher, as modest differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle shifts in the 850 hPa thermal ridge could push the low either below 10 °C or hold it above 12 °C. Current surface observations around 13 °C and stable pressure fields support the balanced probabilities, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour forecast update.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Moscovo a 19 de setembro?
3°C ou menos 92%
13°C ou mais 92%
6°C 40%
7°C 40%
3°C ou menos
92%
4°C
2%
5°C
9%
6°C
40%
7°C
40%
8°C
22%
9°C
22%
10°C
22%
11°C
40%
12°C
18%
13°C ou mais
92%
3°C ou menos 92%
13°C ou mais 92%
6°C 40%
7°C 40%
3°C ou menos
92%
4°C
2%
5°C
9%
6°C
40%
7°C
40%
8°C
22%
9°C
22%
10°C
22%
11°C
40%
12°C
18%
13°C ou mais
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs show Moscow under southwesterly flow with mostly cloudy skies and light winds, keeping overnight minimum temperatures near 10–13 °C on September 19 according to consensus guidance from GFS and ECMWF. This setup favors the market’s near-even split between 3 °C or below and 13 °C or higher, as modest differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle shifts in the 850 hPa thermal ridge could push the low either below 10 °C or hold it above 12 °C. Current surface observations around 13 °C and stable pressure fields support the balanced probabilities, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour forecast update.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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