Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila's September 18 maximum will likely fall in the low 30s Celsius, driven by typical southwest monsoon conditions with scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80%, and variable cloud cover that moderates daytime heating. Historical September highs average 31–32°C, and current outlooks align closely with this baseline amid light winds and an active Intertropical Convergence Zone. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C reflects model consensus on these factors, while small differences hinge on exact timing of convective rain, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, versus clearer intervals allowing brief warming. PAGASA's next regional updates and refined model runs will provide key signals ahead of the date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila em 18 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Manila em 18 de setembro?
32°C 40%
31°C 39%
33°C 39%
30°C 24%
NOVO
NOVO
18 set 2026
28°C ou menos
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
24%
31°C
39%
32°C
40%
33°C
39%
34°C
15%
35°C
15%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C ou mais
<1%
32°C 40%
31°C 39%
33°C 39%
30°C 24%
NOVO
NOVO
18 set 2026
28°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
7%
30°C
$0 Vol.
24%
31°C
$0 Vol.
39%
32°C
$0 Vol.
40%
33°C
$0 Vol.
39%
34°C
$0 Vol.
15%
35°C
$0 Vol.
15%
36°C
$0 Vol.
2%
37°C
$20 Vol.
1%
38°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila's September 18 maximum will likely fall in the low 30s Celsius, driven by typical southwest monsoon conditions with scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80%, and variable cloud cover that moderates daytime heating. Historical September highs average 31–32°C, and current outlooks align closely with this baseline amid light winds and an active Intertropical Convergence Zone. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C reflects model consensus on these factors, while small differences hinge on exact timing of convective rain, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, versus clearer intervals allowing brief warming. PAGASA's next regional updates and refined model runs will provide key signals ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$20Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila's September 18 maximum will likely fall in the low 30s Celsius, driven by typical southwest monsoon conditions with scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80%, and variable cloud cover that moderates daytime heating. Historical September highs average 31–32°C, and current outlooks align closely with this baseline amid light winds and an active Intertropical Convergence Zone. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C reflects model consensus on these factors, while small differences hinge on exact timing of convective rain, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, versus clearer intervals allowing brief warming. PAGASA's next regional updates and refined model runs will provide key signals ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila's September 18 maximum will likely fall in the low 30s Celsius, driven by typical southwest monsoon conditions with scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80%, and variable cloud cover that moderates daytime heating. Historical September highs average 31–32°C, and current outlooks align closely with this baseline amid light winds and an active Intertropical Convergence Zone. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C reflects model consensus on these factors, while small differences hinge on exact timing of convective rain, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, versus clearer intervals allowing brief warming. PAGASA's next regional updates and refined model runs will provide key signals ahead of the date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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