**Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover from a northeast-moving weather system are suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo on September 16, 2026, anchoring the daily maximum near 23°C according to converging forecasts.** Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models (including GFS-based outputs) consistently project a high of 22–23°C under overcast skies with widespread precipitation, high humidity near 90–95%, and northeasterly winds. This represents a notable departure from mid-September climatological normals around 27°C, as the storm-driven conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling. Trader consensus at 95.5% implied probability for exactly 23°C reflects the tight clustering of model guidance and real-time observations showing temperatures already capped well below seasonal averages. Minor variations in exact peak timing or localized clearing could shift the recorded maximum by 1°C, but the overall pattern makes outcomes above 24°C or below 22°C improbable absent major forecast revisions. The market will resolve against official Tokyo station data once the full 24-hour period concludes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 16 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 16 de setembro?
23°C 96%
24°C 5%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
NOVO
$85,390 Vol.
NOVO
$85,390 Vol.
16 set 2026
19°C ou menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
96%
24°C
5%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou mais
<1%
23°C 96%
24°C 5%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
NOVO
$85,390 Vol.
NOVO
$85,390 Vol.
16 set 2026
19°C ou menos
$1,620 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,854 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,276 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$15,539 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$9,851 Vol.
96%
24°C
$8,608 Vol.
5%
25°C
$30,235 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5,980 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,090 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,039 Vol.
<1%
29°C ou mais
$4,300 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover from a northeast-moving weather system are suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo on September 16, 2026, anchoring the daily maximum near 23°C according to converging forecasts.** Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models (including GFS-based outputs) consistently project a high of 22–23°C under overcast skies with widespread precipitation, high humidity near 90–95%, and northeasterly winds. This represents a notable departure from mid-September climatological normals around 27°C, as the storm-driven conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling.
Trader consensus at 95.5% implied probability for exactly 23°C reflects the tight clustering of model guidance and real-time observations showing temperatures already capped well below seasonal averages. Minor variations in exact peak timing or localized clearing could shift the recorded maximum by 1°C, but the overall pattern makes outcomes above 24°C or below 22°C improbable absent major forecast revisions. The market will resolve against official Tokyo station data once the full 24-hour period concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$85,390Data de Término
16 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover from a northeast-moving weather system are suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo on September 16, 2026, anchoring the daily maximum near 23°C according to converging forecasts.** Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models (including GFS-based outputs) consistently project a high of 22–23°C under overcast skies with widespread precipitation, high humidity near 90–95%, and northeasterly winds. This represents a notable departure from mid-September climatological normals around 27°C, as the storm-driven conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling.
Trader consensus at 95.5% implied probability for exactly 23°C reflects the tight clustering of model guidance and real-time observations showing temperatures already capped well below seasonal averages. Minor variations in exact peak timing or localized clearing could shift the recorded maximum by 1°C, but the overall pattern makes outcomes above 24°C or below 22°C improbable absent major forecast revisions. The market will resolve against official Tokyo station data once the full 24-hour period concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$85,390Data de Término
16 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover from a northeast-moving weather system are suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo on September 16, 2026, anchoring the daily maximum near 23°C according to converging forecasts.** Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models (including GFS-based outputs) consistently project a high of 22–23°C under overcast skies with widespread precipitation, high humidity near 90–95%, and northeasterly winds. This represents a notable departure from mid-September climatological normals around 27°C, as the storm-driven conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling. Trader consensus at 95.5% implied probability for exactly 23°C reflects the tight clustering of model guidance and real-time observations showing temperatures already capped well below seasonal averages. Minor variations in exact peak timing or localized clearing could shift the recorded maximum by 1°C, but the overall pattern makes outcomes above 24°C or below 22°C improbable absent major forecast revisions. The market will resolve against official Tokyo station data once the full 24-hour period concludes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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