Trader consensus on the Buenos Aires maximum temperature for September 17 shows closely matched implied probabilities for 25°C (34%) and 26°C or higher (30.5%), reflecting model spread in official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and global ensembles. Latest runs indicate northerly flow and clear skies supporting a peak near 21–23°C under typical spring conditions, with afternoon heating limited by moderate humidity and winds around 15–25 km/h. Historical September averages hover near 18–20°C, so current positioning implies traders are weighting potential for stronger warming or forecast revisions from updated model cycles. Resolution hinges on the official daily high reported by the national service, with low precipitation risk reducing variability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires em 17 de setembro?
25°C 34%
26°C ou mais 31%
24°C 22%
23°C 8%
16°C ou menos
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
8%
24°C
22%
25°C
34%
26°C ou mais
31%
25°C 34%
26°C ou mais 31%
24°C 22%
23°C 8%
16°C ou menos
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
8%
24°C
22%
25°C
34%
26°C ou mais
31%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 15, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Buenos Aires maximum temperature for September 17 shows closely matched implied probabilities for 25°C (34%) and 26°C or higher (30.5%), reflecting model spread in official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and global ensembles. Latest runs indicate northerly flow and clear skies supporting a peak near 21–23°C under typical spring conditions, with afternoon heating limited by moderate humidity and winds around 15–25 km/h. Historical September averages hover near 18–20°C, so current positioning implies traders are weighting potential for stronger warming or forecast revisions from updated model cycles. Resolution hinges on the official daily high reported by the national service, with low precipitation risk reducing variability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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