Persistent rainfall driven by a shear line and low-level jet stream is suppressing maximum temperatures across Chongqing ahead of September 18. Official forecasts from multiple sources indicate a high of 22–27°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with periods of light to moderate rain, limiting daytime solar heating and evaporative cooling effects. Model consensus favors values near 25–27°C, though slight variations in rainfall timing or intensity could shift outcomes by a few degrees. This contrasts with typical mid-September climatology, where clearer conditions often allow highs near 28–30°C. Traders appear to weigh near-term observational updates and any revisions in numerical weather prediction runs, particularly from regional meteorological agencies, as the key variables for the closely bunched lower-temperature outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chongqing em 18 de setembro?
22°C ou menos 27%
25°C 25%
23°C 23%
24°C 21%
22°C ou menos
27%
23°C
23%
24°C
21%
25°C
25%
26°C
12%
27°C
6%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C ou mais
3%
22°C ou menos 27%
25°C 25%
23°C 23%
24°C 21%
22°C ou menos
27%
23°C
23%
24°C
21%
25°C
25%
26°C
12%
27°C
6%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C ou mais
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rainfall driven by a shear line and low-level jet stream is suppressing maximum temperatures across Chongqing ahead of September 18. Official forecasts from multiple sources indicate a high of 22–27°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with periods of light to moderate rain, limiting daytime solar heating and evaporative cooling effects. Model consensus favors values near 25–27°C, though slight variations in rainfall timing or intensity could shift outcomes by a few degrees. This contrasts with typical mid-September climatology, where clearer conditions often allow highs near 28–30°C. Traders appear to weigh near-term observational updates and any revisions in numerical weather prediction runs, particularly from regional meteorological agencies, as the key variables for the closely bunched lower-temperature outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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