Recent observational data and numerical weather prediction models from agencies like Russia's Hydrometeorological Center show Moscow's maximum temperature on September 18 stabilizing at 16°C under variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and minimal precipitation. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 15.8°C, reinforced by real-time station reports confirming no significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating to push readings higher. Trader consensus at 16°C with full implied probability reflects the tight clustering of ensemble forecasts and ongoing surface observations, leaving little room for deviation by day's end. Only an unforeseen late-day spike from localized clear skies or measurement adjustments at official stations could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 18 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 18 de setembro?
16°C 100.0%
10°C ou menos <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$37,608 Vol.
$37,608 Vol.
18 set 2026
10°C ou menos
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Sim
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C ou mais
Não
16°C 100.0%
10°C ou menos <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$37,608 Vol.
$37,608 Vol.
18 set 2026
10°C ou menos
$349 Vol.
Não
11°C
$31 Vol.
Não
12°C
$31 Vol.
Não
13°C
$31 Vol.
Não
14°C
$1,616 Vol.
Não
15°C
$5,584 Vol.
Não
16°C
$6,914 Vol.
Sim
17°C
$6,988 Vol.
Não
18°C
$10,199 Vol.
Não
19°C
$3,159 Vol.
Não
20°C ou mais
$2,707 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and numerical weather prediction models from agencies like Russia's Hydrometeorological Center show Moscow's maximum temperature on September 18 stabilizing at 16°C under variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and minimal precipitation. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 15.8°C, reinforced by real-time station reports confirming no significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating to push readings higher. Trader consensus at 16°C with full implied probability reflects the tight clustering of ensemble forecasts and ongoing surface observations, leaving little room for deviation by day's end. Only an unforeseen late-day spike from localized clear skies or measurement adjustments at official stations could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$37,608Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and numerical weather prediction models from agencies like Russia's Hydrometeorological Center show Moscow's maximum temperature on September 18 stabilizing at 16°C under variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and minimal precipitation. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 15.8°C, reinforced by real-time station reports confirming no significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating to push readings higher. Trader consensus at 16°C with full implied probability reflects the tight clustering of ensemble forecasts and ongoing surface observations, leaving little room for deviation by day's end. Only an unforeseen late-day spike from localized clear skies or measurement adjustments at official stations could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37,608Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent observational data and numerical weather prediction models from agencies like Russia's Hydrometeorological Center show Moscow's maximum temperature on September 18 stabilizing at 16°C under variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and minimal precipitation. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 15.8°C, reinforced by real-time station reports confirming no significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating to push readings higher. Trader consensus at 16°C with full implied probability reflects the tight clustering of ensemble forecasts and ongoing surface observations, leaving little room for deviation by day's end. Only an unforeseen late-day spike from localized clear skies or measurement adjustments at official stations could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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