**National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus currently favor a high temperature near 96–99°F for Austin on September 22, driving the leading market-implied probabilities for the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins.** Light winds, elevated dew points supporting heat indices above 100°F, and a modest chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms introduce variability that could trim or boost the peak by a degree or two. These conditions sit well above the 1991–2020 average high of 89.6°F for the date, reflecting persistent late-summer warmth. Traders appear to weigh the spread across updated model runs and any NWS forecast adjustments expected in the next 48 hours, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum reported by the Austin-Bergstrom station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Austin em 22 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Austin em 22 de setembro?
98-99°F 37%
96-97°F 26%
94-95°F 19%
100-101°F 17%
NOVO
NOVO
22 set 2026
87°F ou menos
4%
88-89°F
4%
32-33°C
9%
92-93°F
15%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
26%
98-99°F
37%
100-101°F
17%
102-103°F
10%
104-105°F
9%
106°F ou mais
6%
98-99°F 37%
96-97°F 26%
94-95°F 19%
100-101°F 17%
NOVO
NOVO
22 set 2026
87°F ou menos
$0 Vol.
4%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
4%
32-33°C
$24 Vol.
9%
92-93°F
$15 Vol.
15%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
19%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
26%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
37%
100-101°F
$0 Vol.
17%
102-103°F
$0 Vol.
10%
104-105°F
$0 Vol.
9%
106°F ou mais
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus currently favor a high temperature near 96–99°F for Austin on September 22, driving the leading market-implied probabilities for the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins.** Light winds, elevated dew points supporting heat indices above 100°F, and a modest chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms introduce variability that could trim or boost the peak by a degree or two. These conditions sit well above the 1991–2020 average high of 89.6°F for the date, reflecting persistent late-summer warmth. Traders appear to weigh the spread across updated model runs and any NWS forecast adjustments expected in the next 48 hours, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum reported by the Austin-Bergstrom station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$38Data de Término
22 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus currently favor a high temperature near 96–99°F for Austin on September 22, driving the leading market-implied probabilities for the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins.** Light winds, elevated dew points supporting heat indices above 100°F, and a modest chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms introduce variability that could trim or boost the peak by a degree or two. These conditions sit well above the 1991–2020 average high of 89.6°F for the date, reflecting persistent late-summer warmth. Traders appear to weigh the spread across updated model runs and any NWS forecast adjustments expected in the next 48 hours, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum reported by the Austin-Bergstrom station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38Data de Término
22 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...**National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus currently favor a high temperature near 96–99°F for Austin on September 22, driving the leading market-implied probabilities for the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins.** Light winds, elevated dew points supporting heat indices above 100°F, and a modest chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms introduce variability that could trim or boost the peak by a degree or two. These conditions sit well above the 1991–2020 average high of 89.6°F for the date, reflecting persistent late-summer warmth. Traders appear to weigh the spread across updated model runs and any NWS forecast adjustments expected in the next 48 hours, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum reported by the Austin-Bergstrom station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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