**Official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daily maximum near 28°C for Qingdao on September 20 under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds and moderate humidity.** This aligns with seasonal norms for late September, when coastal influences from the Yellow Sea typically cap peaks around the long-term average of 26°C. Recent model consensus shows limited warming potential due to stable high pressure and no significant warm advection, keeping extremes above 30°C unlikely and explaining the dominant 86.5% implied probability on 30°C alongside minimal odds for 32°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the chance of the official high touching or slightly exceeding 30°C against these moderate conditions, with resolution hinging on the final verified reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Qingdao em 20 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Qingdao em 20 de setembro?
30°C 85%
29°C 17.5%
31°C <1%
32°C ou mais <1%
$48,716 Vol.
$48,716 Vol.
20 set 2026
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
19%
30°C
85%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou mais
<1%
30°C 85%
29°C 17.5%
31°C <1%
32°C ou mais <1%
$48,716 Vol.
$48,716 Vol.
20 set 2026
22°C ou menos
$381 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$93 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,067 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,709 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$19,528 Vol.
19%
30°C
$10,256 Vol.
85%
31°C
$8,117 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou mais
$4,442 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daily maximum near 28°C for Qingdao on September 20 under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds and moderate humidity.** This aligns with seasonal norms for late September, when coastal influences from the Yellow Sea typically cap peaks around the long-term average of 26°C. Recent model consensus shows limited warming potential due to stable high pressure and no significant warm advection, keeping extremes above 30°C unlikely and explaining the dominant 86.5% implied probability on 30°C alongside minimal odds for 32°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the chance of the official high touching or slightly exceeding 30°C against these moderate conditions, with resolution hinging on the final verified reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$48,716Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daily maximum near 28°C for Qingdao on September 20 under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds and moderate humidity.** This aligns with seasonal norms for late September, when coastal influences from the Yellow Sea typically cap peaks around the long-term average of 26°C. Recent model consensus shows limited warming potential due to stable high pressure and no significant warm advection, keeping extremes above 30°C unlikely and explaining the dominant 86.5% implied probability on 30°C alongside minimal odds for 32°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the chance of the official high touching or slightly exceeding 30°C against these moderate conditions, with resolution hinging on the final verified reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$48,716Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daily maximum near 28°C for Qingdao on September 20 under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds and moderate humidity.** This aligns with seasonal norms for late September, when coastal influences from the Yellow Sea typically cap peaks around the long-term average of 26°C. Recent model consensus shows limited warming potential due to stable high pressure and no significant warm advection, keeping extremes above 30°C unlikely and explaining the dominant 86.5% implied probability on 30°C alongside minimal odds for 32°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the chance of the official high touching or slightly exceeding 30°C against these moderate conditions, with resolution hinging on the final verified reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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