The Hong Kong Observatory forecast and real-time observations establish a maximum of 33°C as the near-certain outcome for September 20, driven by a high-level anticyclone producing widespread clear skies, dry subsidence, and daytime heating across the region. Official guidance pegs the urban high at 33°C with light easterly winds and relative humidity of 50-90%, while some inland stations briefly approached but did not exceed this threshold amid minimal cloud cover and low shower probability. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus backed by verified meteorological data rather than models alone. A sudden late-day convective burst or revised official tally could theoretically shift the recorded maximum, though current conditions and climatological norms for late September make such deviations highly improbable before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 20 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 20 de setembro?
33°C 100.0%
34°C <1%
32°C <1%
26°C ou menos <1%
$106,540 Vol.
$106,540 Vol.
20 set 2026
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou mais
<1%
33°C 100.0%
34°C <1%
32°C <1%
26°C ou menos <1%
$106,540 Vol.
$106,540 Vol.
20 set 2026
26°C ou menos
$451 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$513 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,409 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,485 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$11,886 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$18,139 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$20,363 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$26,316 Vol.
100%
34°C
$19,865 Vol.
1%
35°C
$4,092 Vol.
<1%
36°C ou mais
$2,092 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory forecast and real-time observations establish a maximum of 33°C as the near-certain outcome for September 20, driven by a high-level anticyclone producing widespread clear skies, dry subsidence, and daytime heating across the region. Official guidance pegs the urban high at 33°C with light easterly winds and relative humidity of 50-90%, while some inland stations briefly approached but did not exceed this threshold amid minimal cloud cover and low shower probability. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus backed by verified meteorological data rather than models alone. A sudden late-day convective burst or revised official tally could theoretically shift the recorded maximum, though current conditions and climatological norms for late September make such deviations highly improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$106,540Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory forecast and real-time observations establish a maximum of 33°C as the near-certain outcome for September 20, driven by a high-level anticyclone producing widespread clear skies, dry subsidence, and daytime heating across the region. Official guidance pegs the urban high at 33°C with light easterly winds and relative humidity of 50-90%, while some inland stations briefly approached but did not exceed this threshold amid minimal cloud cover and low shower probability. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus backed by verified meteorological data rather than models alone. A sudden late-day convective burst or revised official tally could theoretically shift the recorded maximum, though current conditions and climatological norms for late September make such deviations highly improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$106,540Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory forecast and real-time observations establish a maximum of 33°C as the near-certain outcome for September 20, driven by a high-level anticyclone producing widespread clear skies, dry subsidence, and daytime heating across the region. Official guidance pegs the urban high at 33°C with light easterly winds and relative humidity of 50-90%, while some inland stations briefly approached but did not exceed this threshold amid minimal cloud cover and low shower probability. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus backed by verified meteorological data rather than models alone. A sudden late-day convective burst or revised official tally could theoretically shift the recorded maximum, though current conditions and climatological norms for late September make such deviations highly improbable before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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