Current forecast models from sources aligned with Japan Meteorological Agency guidance indicate heavy rain, overcast skies, and northerly winds will limit solar heating in Tokyo on September 20, producing a daytime high near 23–24°C. This cooler, humid pattern deviates from September climatological averages around 26–27°C and aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 47.5% for 24°C and 32.5% for 23°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce surface warming, while model consensus shows limited upward temperature revision potential before resolution. Traders appear to weigh remaining forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and localized variations against these stable conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 20 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 20 de setembro?
24°C 48%
23°C 34%
25°C 18%
26°C 4%
NOVO
$23,152 Vol.
NOVO
$23,152 Vol.
20 set 2026
19°C ou menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
34%
24°C
48%
25°C
18%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou mais
<1%
24°C 48%
23°C 34%
25°C 18%
26°C 4%
NOVO
$23,152 Vol.
NOVO
$23,152 Vol.
20 set 2026
19°C ou menos
$1,869 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,491 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,586 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,135 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,061 Vol.
34%
24°C
$3,459 Vol.
48%
25°C
$2,457 Vol.
18%
26°C
$1,691 Vol.
4%
27°C
$1,441 Vol.
1%
28°C
$977 Vol.
<1%
29°C ou mais
$126 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources aligned with Japan Meteorological Agency guidance indicate heavy rain, overcast skies, and northerly winds will limit solar heating in Tokyo on September 20, producing a daytime high near 23–24°C. This cooler, humid pattern deviates from September climatological averages around 26–27°C and aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 47.5% for 24°C and 32.5% for 23°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce surface warming, while model consensus shows limited upward temperature revision potential before resolution. Traders appear to weigh remaining forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and localized variations against these stable conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$23,152Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources aligned with Japan Meteorological Agency guidance indicate heavy rain, overcast skies, and northerly winds will limit solar heating in Tokyo on September 20, producing a daytime high near 23–24°C. This cooler, humid pattern deviates from September climatological averages around 26–27°C and aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 47.5% for 24°C and 32.5% for 23°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce surface warming, while model consensus shows limited upward temperature revision potential before resolution. Traders appear to weigh remaining forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and localized variations against these stable conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,152Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources aligned with Japan Meteorological Agency guidance indicate heavy rain, overcast skies, and northerly winds will limit solar heating in Tokyo on September 20, producing a daytime high near 23–24°C. This cooler, humid pattern deviates from September climatological averages around 26–27°C and aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 47.5% for 24°C and 32.5% for 23°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce surface warming, while model consensus shows limited upward temperature revision potential before resolution. Traders appear to weigh remaining forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and localized variations against these stable conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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