Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high-pressure ridge building over central Europe, with rising surface pressure to around 1021 hPa and light southwesterly winds favoring partly cloudy to clear skies over Warsaw on September 19. This setup supports maximum temperatures clustering near 21–22°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 56.5% for 22°C and 26.5% for 21°C. Low precipitation chances (under 10%) and moderate humidity levels limit cooling from cloud cover or rain, though overnight minima near 12°C and seasonal September norms around 18–20°C provide context for the narrow distribution. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours could refine these values if steering patterns shift.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 19 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 19 de setembro?
22°C 56%
23°C 29%
21°C 27%
20°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
19 set 2026
17°C ou menos
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
6%
20°C
16%
21°C
27%
22°C
56%
23°C
29%
24°C
10%
25°C
6%
26°C
<1%
27°C ou mais
<1%
22°C 56%
23°C 29%
21°C 27%
20°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
19 set 2026
17°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
3%
19°C
$0 Vol.
6%
20°C
$0 Vol.
16%
21°C
$3 Vol.
27%
22°C
$214 Vol.
56%
23°C
$0 Vol.
29%
24°C
$0 Vol.
10%
25°C
$55 Vol.
6%
26°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
27°C ou mais
$261 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high-pressure ridge building over central Europe, with rising surface pressure to around 1021 hPa and light southwesterly winds favoring partly cloudy to clear skies over Warsaw on September 19. This setup supports maximum temperatures clustering near 21–22°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 56.5% for 22°C and 26.5% for 21°C. Low precipitation chances (under 10%) and moderate humidity levels limit cooling from cloud cover or rain, though overnight minima near 12°C and seasonal September norms around 18–20°C provide context for the narrow distribution. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours could refine these values if steering patterns shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$644Data de Término
19 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high-pressure ridge building over central Europe, with rising surface pressure to around 1021 hPa and light southwesterly winds favoring partly cloudy to clear skies over Warsaw on September 19. This setup supports maximum temperatures clustering near 21–22°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 56.5% for 22°C and 26.5% for 21°C. Low precipitation chances (under 10%) and moderate humidity levels limit cooling from cloud cover or rain, though overnight minima near 12°C and seasonal September norms around 18–20°C provide context for the narrow distribution. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours could refine these values if steering patterns shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$644Data de Término
19 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high-pressure ridge building over central Europe, with rising surface pressure to around 1021 hPa and light southwesterly winds favoring partly cloudy to clear skies over Warsaw on September 19. This setup supports maximum temperatures clustering near 21–22°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 56.5% for 22°C and 26.5% for 21°C. Low precipitation chances (under 10%) and moderate humidity levels limit cooling from cloud cover or rain, though overnight minima near 12°C and seasonal September norms around 18–20°C provide context for the narrow distribution. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours could refine these values if steering patterns shift.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions