Recent weather model consensus from sources like the GFS and observations from Warsaw stations point to a minimum temperature of 8°C overnight into September 19, driven by clear skies, light southwesterly winds around 5-10 km/h, and radiative cooling under high pressure near 1016-1020 hPa. This aligns with typical early autumn patterns where minimums dip several degrees below daytime highs of 21-22°C. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these verified forecasts and real-time data, with minimal divergence across ensembles. A realistic challenge could arise only from localized station variations, delayed official reporting revisions, or an unexpected cloud cover increase that moderates cooling.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia em 19 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia em 19 de setembro?
8°C 100.0%
6°C ou menos <1%
7°C <1%
9°C <1%
$4,708 Vol.
$4,708 Vol.
19 set 2026
6°C ou menos
Não
7°C
Não
8°C
Sim
9°C
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C ou mais
Não
8°C 100.0%
6°C ou menos <1%
7°C <1%
9°C <1%
$4,708 Vol.
$4,708 Vol.
19 set 2026
6°C ou menos
$86 Vol.
Não
7°C
$91 Vol.
Não
8°C
$1,903 Vol.
Sim
9°C
$1,298 Vol.
Não
10°C
$672 Vol.
Não
11°C
$171 Vol.
Não
12°C
$222 Vol.
Não
13°C
$80 Vol.
Não
14°C
$39 Vol.
Não
15°C
$130 Vol.
Não
16°C ou mais
$18 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources like the GFS and observations from Warsaw stations point to a minimum temperature of 8°C overnight into September 19, driven by clear skies, light southwesterly winds around 5-10 km/h, and radiative cooling under high pressure near 1016-1020 hPa. This aligns with typical early autumn patterns where minimums dip several degrees below daytime highs of 21-22°C. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these verified forecasts and real-time data, with minimal divergence across ensembles. A realistic challenge could arise only from localized station variations, delayed official reporting revisions, or an unexpected cloud cover increase that moderates cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$4,708Data de Término
19 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources like the GFS and observations from Warsaw stations point to a minimum temperature of 8°C overnight into September 19, driven by clear skies, light southwesterly winds around 5-10 km/h, and radiative cooling under high pressure near 1016-1020 hPa. This aligns with typical early autumn patterns where minimums dip several degrees below daytime highs of 21-22°C. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these verified forecasts and real-time data, with minimal divergence across ensembles. A realistic challenge could arise only from localized station variations, delayed official reporting revisions, or an unexpected cloud cover increase that moderates cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,708Data de Término
19 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent weather model consensus from sources like the GFS and observations from Warsaw stations point to a minimum temperature of 8°C overnight into September 19, driven by clear skies, light southwesterly winds around 5-10 km/h, and radiative cooling under high pressure near 1016-1020 hPa. This aligns with typical early autumn patterns where minimums dip several degrees below daytime highs of 21-22°C. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these verified forecasts and real-time data, with minimal divergence across ensembles. A realistic challenge could arise only from localized station variations, delayed official reporting revisions, or an unexpected cloud cover increase that moderates cooling.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions