**Forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, WindBorne, and local services project a daytime high of 29–30°C for Tel Aviv on September 21 under stable high pressure, clear to mostly sunny skies, and light northwest winds of 5–10 mph.** This places the outcome near the late-September climatological norm of roughly 29°C, with minimal cloud cover or moisture limiting convective cooling. Slight differences in peak timing, urban heat-island effects at measurement stations, and “feels-like” adjustments (some models reach 31°C) create the narrow split between 30°C and 31°C in trader pricing. Updated model runs and official Israel Meteorological Service guidance expected later on the 20th represent the next key data points that could shift the tight market-implied odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 21 de setembro?
31°C 52%
30°C 47%
32°C 5%
34°C <1%
$16,847 Vol.
$16,847 Vol.
27°C ou menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
47%
31°C
52%
32°C
5%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C ou mais
<1%
31°C 52%
30°C 47%
32°C 5%
34°C <1%
$16,847 Vol.
$16,847 Vol.
27°C ou menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
47%
31°C
52%
32°C
5%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, WindBorne, and local services project a daytime high of 29–30°C for Tel Aviv on September 21 under stable high pressure, clear to mostly sunny skies, and light northwest winds of 5–10 mph.** This places the outcome near the late-September climatological norm of roughly 29°C, with minimal cloud cover or moisture limiting convective cooling. Slight differences in peak timing, urban heat-island effects at measurement stations, and “feels-like” adjustments (some models reach 31°C) create the narrow split between 30°C and 31°C in trader pricing. Updated model runs and official Israel Meteorological Service guidance expected later on the 20th represent the next key data points that could shift the tight market-implied odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions