Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Israeli Meteorological Service and GFS ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 20 under mostly clear skies and northwest winds of 10–15 km/h. This positions 31°C as the market leader at 47% implied probability, with 32–33°C capturing upside risk from localized heating or model spread. Recent days have featured warmer readings up to 35°C, but a cooling trend driven by a shift to drier, breezier flow is expected to moderate highs relative to the September climatological average of roughly 29°C. Updated official guidance and any late adjustments to steering patterns remain the key variables that could shift the distribution before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 20 de setembro?
31°C 51%
33°C 32%
29°C 30%
32°C 22%
27°C ou menos
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
30%
30°C
18%
31°C
51%
32°C
22%
33°C
32%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C ou mais
2%
31°C 51%
33°C 32%
29°C 30%
32°C 22%
27°C ou menos
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
30%
30°C
18%
31°C
51%
32°C
22%
33°C
32%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C ou mais
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Israeli Meteorological Service and GFS ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 20 under mostly clear skies and northwest winds of 10–15 km/h. This positions 31°C as the market leader at 47% implied probability, with 32–33°C capturing upside risk from localized heating or model spread. Recent days have featured warmer readings up to 35°C, but a cooling trend driven by a shift to drier, breezier flow is expected to moderate highs relative to the September climatological average of roughly 29°C. Updated official guidance and any late adjustments to steering patterns remain the key variables that could shift the distribution before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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