Recent National Weather Service and European model runs indicate a high near 30 °C in Tel Aviv on September 19 under stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the late-September climatological mean of 29–30 °C and recent observations showing no anomalous heat advection or Saharan air intrusion. Trader consensus, reflected in the 67 % implied probability for exactly 30 °C, incorporates the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range forecasts this close to the event, while the secondary 31 °C and 29 °C outcomes capture residual model spread. Final resolution will depend on the official maximum recorded at the Tel Aviv station before midnight local time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 19 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 19 de setembro?
30°C 67%
31°C 22%
29°C 15%
27°C ou menos <1%
NOVO
NOVO
19 set 2026
27°C ou menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
15%
30°C
67%
31°C
22%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C ou mais
<1%
30°C 67%
31°C 22%
29°C 15%
27°C ou menos <1%
NOVO
NOVO
19 set 2026
27°C ou menos
$1,051 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$81 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$889 Vol.
15%
30°C
$4,469 Vol.
67%
31°C
$2,227 Vol.
22%
32°C
$81 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$353 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$191 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$103 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$103 Vol.
<1%
37°C ou mais
$103 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and European model runs indicate a high near 30 °C in Tel Aviv on September 19 under stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the late-September climatological mean of 29–30 °C and recent observations showing no anomalous heat advection or Saharan air intrusion. Trader consensus, reflected in the 67 % implied probability for exactly 30 °C, incorporates the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range forecasts this close to the event, while the secondary 31 °C and 29 °C outcomes capture residual model spread. Final resolution will depend on the official maximum recorded at the Tel Aviv station before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$9,650Data de Término
19 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and European model runs indicate a high near 30 °C in Tel Aviv on September 19 under stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the late-September climatological mean of 29–30 °C and recent observations showing no anomalous heat advection or Saharan air intrusion. Trader consensus, reflected in the 67 % implied probability for exactly 30 °C, incorporates the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range forecasts this close to the event, while the secondary 31 °C and 29 °C outcomes capture residual model spread. Final resolution will depend on the official maximum recorded at the Tel Aviv station before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,650Data de Término
19 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and European model runs indicate a high near 30 °C in Tel Aviv on September 19 under stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the late-September climatological mean of 29–30 °C and recent observations showing no anomalous heat advection or Saharan air intrusion. Trader consensus, reflected in the 67 % implied probability for exactly 30 °C, incorporates the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range forecasts this close to the event, while the secondary 31 °C and 29 °C outcomes capture residual model spread. Final resolution will depend on the official maximum recorded at the Tel Aviv station before midnight local time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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