Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from global ensembles and the Israel Meteorological Service points to overnight minimum temperatures near 23°C in Tel Aviv on September 21, driven by stable high pressure, light northwest winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Mediterranean sea surface temperatures remain above seasonal norms, moderating the diurnal range and supporting trader emphasis on the 23°C outcome at 43% implied probability. Historical late-September variability and potential discrepancies in urban station measurements versus model grids sustain the notable market allocation to lower or higher thresholds, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at official sites.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tel Aviv em 21 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Tel Aviv em 21 de setembro?
28°C ou mais 94%
18°C ou menos 92%
23°C 48%
24°C 40%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
18°C ou menos
92%
19°C
14%
20°C
31%
21°C
31%
22°C
18%
23°C
48%
24°C
40%
25°C
26%
26°C
14%
27°C
13%
28°C ou mais
94%
28°C ou mais 94%
18°C ou menos 92%
23°C 48%
24°C 40%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
18°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
92%
19°C
$0 Vol.
14%
20°C
$0 Vol.
31%
21°C
$0 Vol.
31%
22°C
$0 Vol.
18%
23°C
$10 Vol.
48%
24°C
$0 Vol.
40%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
14%
27°C
$0 Vol.
13%
28°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from global ensembles and the Israel Meteorological Service points to overnight minimum temperatures near 23°C in Tel Aviv on September 21, driven by stable high pressure, light northwest winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Mediterranean sea surface temperatures remain above seasonal norms, moderating the diurnal range and supporting trader emphasis on the 23°C outcome at 43% implied probability. Historical late-September variability and potential discrepancies in urban station measurements versus model grids sustain the notable market allocation to lower or higher thresholds, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at official sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$10Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from global ensembles and the Israel Meteorological Service points to overnight minimum temperatures near 23°C in Tel Aviv on September 21, driven by stable high pressure, light northwest winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Mediterranean sea surface temperatures remain above seasonal norms, moderating the diurnal range and supporting trader emphasis on the 23°C outcome at 43% implied probability. Historical late-September variability and potential discrepancies in urban station measurements versus model grids sustain the notable market allocation to lower or higher thresholds, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at official sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from global ensembles and the Israel Meteorological Service points to overnight minimum temperatures near 23°C in Tel Aviv on September 21, driven by stable high pressure, light northwest winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Mediterranean sea surface temperatures remain above seasonal norms, moderating the diurnal range and supporting trader emphasis on the 23°C outcome at 43% implied probability. Historical late-September variability and potential discrepancies in urban station measurements versus model grids sustain the notable market allocation to lower or higher thresholds, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at official sites.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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