Current ensemble forecasts from models like ICON-EU and ECMWF indicate Warsaw’s overnight low on September 22 will likely settle near 9–11°C under light northwesterly winds, variable cloud cover, and high pressure near 1018–1020 hPa. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by residual moisture and partial cloudiness, limiting the drop below 8°C while preventing a sharp rebound above 12°C. Trader sentiment remains split because small shifts in cloud timing or wind direction could push the minimum toward either cooler or milder thresholds, with new model runs and surface observations expected to refine the range before resolution. Historical September minima in Warsaw average near 8–10°C, placing the current setup close to seasonal norms.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia em 22 de setembro?
14°C ou mais 92%
4°C ou menos 80%
9°C 40%
7°C 39%
4°C ou menos
80%
5°C
13%
6°C
17%
7°C
39%
8°C
25%
9°C
24%
10°C
29%
11°C
16%
12°C
37%
13°C
14%
14°C ou mais
92%
14°C ou mais 92%
4°C ou menos 80%
9°C 40%
7°C 39%
4°C ou menos
80%
5°C
13%
6°C
17%
7°C
39%
8°C
25%
9°C
24%
10°C
29%
11°C
16%
12°C
37%
13°C
14%
14°C ou mais
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from models like ICON-EU and ECMWF indicate Warsaw’s overnight low on September 22 will likely settle near 9–11°C under light northwesterly winds, variable cloud cover, and high pressure near 1018–1020 hPa. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by residual moisture and partial cloudiness, limiting the drop below 8°C while preventing a sharp rebound above 12°C. Trader sentiment remains split because small shifts in cloud timing or wind direction could push the minimum toward either cooler or milder thresholds, with new model runs and surface observations expected to refine the range before resolution. Historical September minima in Warsaw average near 8–10°C, placing the current setup close to seasonal norms.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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