Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 21 likely between 9–11°C, driven by a strengthening westerly flow ahead of an Atlantic low-pressure system that will deliver widespread showers, elevated humidity, and reduced daytime heating. Westerly winds of 15–25 km/h will advect cooler maritime air, while cloud cover and precipitation limit radiational cooling overnight. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 10°C, providing context for the near-normal trajectory. Market-implied odds remain closely balanced between warmer and colder thresholds because short-range model runs still differ on the precise timing and intensity of the frontal passage, leaving room for 1–2°C revisions in the final hours before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia em 21 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia em 21 de setembro?
16°C ou mais 97%
6°C ou menos 96%
10°C 46%
9°C 39%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
6°C ou menos
96%
7°C
37%
8°C
24%
9°C
39%
10°C
26%
11°C
22%
12°C
39%
13°C
37%
14°C
33%
15°C
39%
16°C ou mais
97%
16°C ou mais 97%
6°C ou menos 96%
10°C 46%
9°C 39%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
6°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
96%
7°C
$0 Vol.
37%
8°C
$0 Vol.
24%
9°C
$0 Vol.
39%
10°C
$13 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
22%
12°C
$0 Vol.
39%
13°C
$0 Vol.
37%
14°C
$0 Vol.
33%
15°C
$0 Vol.
39%
16°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 21 likely between 9–11°C, driven by a strengthening westerly flow ahead of an Atlantic low-pressure system that will deliver widespread showers, elevated humidity, and reduced daytime heating. Westerly winds of 15–25 km/h will advect cooler maritime air, while cloud cover and precipitation limit radiational cooling overnight. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 10°C, providing context for the near-normal trajectory. Market-implied odds remain closely balanced between warmer and colder thresholds because short-range model runs still differ on the precise timing and intensity of the frontal passage, leaving room for 1–2°C revisions in the final hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$13Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 21 likely between 9–11°C, driven by a strengthening westerly flow ahead of an Atlantic low-pressure system that will deliver widespread showers, elevated humidity, and reduced daytime heating. Westerly winds of 15–25 km/h will advect cooler maritime air, while cloud cover and precipitation limit radiational cooling overnight. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 10°C, providing context for the near-normal trajectory. Market-implied odds remain closely balanced between warmer and colder thresholds because short-range model runs still differ on the precise timing and intensity of the frontal passage, leaving room for 1–2°C revisions in the final hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 21 likely between 9–11°C, driven by a strengthening westerly flow ahead of an Atlantic low-pressure system that will deliver widespread showers, elevated humidity, and reduced daytime heating. Westerly winds of 15–25 km/h will advect cooler maritime air, while cloud cover and precipitation limit radiational cooling overnight. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 10°C, providing context for the near-normal trajectory. Market-implied odds remain closely balanced between warmer and colder thresholds because short-range model runs still differ on the precise timing and intensity of the frontal passage, leaving room for 1–2°C revisions in the final hours before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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