Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a maximum temperature of 14–16°C in Warsaw on September 21, driven by a shift to strong westerly winds, extensive cloud cover, and periods of showers that limit daytime heating after warmer conditions earlier in the weekend. This synoptic setup, with surface pressures around 1016–1017 hPa and dew points supporting modest instability, aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 15°C as the leading outcome. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread for the daily high, though slight variations in rainfall timing could nudge readings by 1°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 21 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 21 de setembro?
15°C 44%
14°C 33%
16°C 23%
13°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
10°C ou menos
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
29%
15°C
44%
16°C
23%
17°C
5%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C ou mais
<1%
15°C 44%
14°C 33%
16°C 23%
13°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
10°C ou menos
$267 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$31 Vol.
1%
12°C
$0 Vol.
2%
13°C
$173 Vol.
5%
14°C
$427 Vol.
29%
15°C
$729 Vol.
44%
16°C
$1,845 Vol.
23%
17°C
$181 Vol.
5%
18°C
$200 Vol.
2%
19°C
$31 Vol.
1%
20°C ou mais
$188 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a maximum temperature of 14–16°C in Warsaw on September 21, driven by a shift to strong westerly winds, extensive cloud cover, and periods of showers that limit daytime heating after warmer conditions earlier in the weekend. This synoptic setup, with surface pressures around 1016–1017 hPa and dew points supporting modest instability, aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 15°C as the leading outcome. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread for the daily high, though slight variations in rainfall timing could nudge readings by 1°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,071Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a maximum temperature of 14–16°C in Warsaw on September 21, driven by a shift to strong westerly winds, extensive cloud cover, and periods of showers that limit daytime heating after warmer conditions earlier in the weekend. This synoptic setup, with surface pressures around 1016–1017 hPa and dew points supporting modest instability, aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 15°C as the leading outcome. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread for the daily high, though slight variations in rainfall timing could nudge readings by 1°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,071Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a maximum temperature of 14–16°C in Warsaw on September 21, driven by a shift to strong westerly winds, extensive cloud cover, and periods of showers that limit daytime heating after warmer conditions earlier in the weekend. This synoptic setup, with surface pressures around 1016–1017 hPa and dew points supporting modest instability, aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 15°C as the leading outcome. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread for the daily high, though slight variations in rainfall timing could nudge readings by 1°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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