Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily minimum temperature in Chongqing on September 18 likely between 19–22°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and periods of light to moderate rain that limit overnight radiative cooling. These conditions, typical for the region's transitional September climate with average lows near 22°C, create uncertainty around precise thresholds, driving the near-even market split between sub-15°C and 25°C+ outcomes alongside lower probabilities for mid-range values like 20°C or 18°C. Upcoming evening model updates and official observations will refine the exact low, as steering patterns and precipitation timing remain key variables.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Chongqing em 18 de setembro?
15°C ou menos 95%
25°C ou mais 95%
21°C 40%
22°C 40%
15°C ou menos
95%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
15%
20°C
36%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C ou mais
95%
15°C ou menos 95%
25°C ou mais 95%
21°C 40%
22°C 40%
15°C ou menos
95%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
15%
20°C
36%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C ou mais
95%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily minimum temperature in Chongqing on September 18 likely between 19–22°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and periods of light to moderate rain that limit overnight radiative cooling. These conditions, typical for the region's transitional September climate with average lows near 22°C, create uncertainty around precise thresholds, driving the near-even market split between sub-15°C and 25°C+ outcomes alongside lower probabilities for mid-range values like 20°C or 18°C. Upcoming evening model updates and official observations will refine the exact low, as steering patterns and precipitation timing remain key variables.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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